Segunda Liga·
Regular Season - 17·01/11/2026·09:00
Chaves
Chaves
LWWWD
2-3
Finished
HT2-1
Maritimo
Maritimo
WDWWW
📍 Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves
Season statsSegunda Liga
Chaves16matchesMaritimo16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Segunda Liga.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

77%
1495
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1502
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
69%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

85%
1.88
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.65

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1616
1.62
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.06
44%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

63%
31%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

19%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
44%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1616
1.19
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
75%
Scored > 0.581%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
63%
Over 1.566%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

69%
19%
Over 2.522%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%
13%
Over 3.516%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

19%
38%
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%
6%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

13%
25%
Scored Both Halves31%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

38%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1616
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.69
44%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1616
1.36
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.01
0.96
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.01
0.40
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.00
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.41
0.32
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

1.36

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1616
-0.24
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1616
44%7/16
Leading at HT47%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%8/16
44%7/16
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%6/16
13%2/16
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

13%2/16
44%7/16
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%10/16
57%4/7
Led at HT → Won72%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

88%7/8
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 16/1616/161616
12%
0-15'20%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

29%
24%
16-30'20%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
12%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
12%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
29%
61-75'21%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
12%
76-90+'16%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 16/1616/161616
53%8/15
Scored First64%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

75%12/16
47%7/15
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

25%4/16
63%5/8
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%9/12
29%2/7
Win when Conceding First27%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

23'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

66'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 16/1616/161616
19%3/16
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

31%5/16
13%2/16
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%3/16
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

89%8/9
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

11%1/9
0%0/16
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 16/1616/161616
88%15/17
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%22/24
12%2/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/24
0%0/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%1/24
14%2/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

25%3/12
14%2/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%1/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1616
0.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 16/1616/161616
3.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

3.00
15/16
13%2/16
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

27%4/15
15/16
0.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

0.00
15/16
93%14/15
Match Cards > 3.587%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

81%13/16
15/16
87%13/15
Match Cards > 4.584%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

81%13/16
15/16
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

57%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeChaves at home · Maritimo on the road
87
1.25
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.57
25%2/8
Win Rate55%

Share of sampled matches won.

86%6/7
25%2/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

14%1/7
0.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.71
0.63
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.29
38%3/8
Clean Sheet54%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

71%5/7
38%3/8
BTTS26%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

14%1/7
0%0/8
Over 2.57%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

14%1/7
1.02
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.83
1.02
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.95