Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 27·03/13/2026·15:00
Nancy
Nancy
LDDLW
2-4
Finished
HT1-1
Le Mans
Le Mans
WDDLD
📍 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Season statsLigue 2
Nancy26matchesMans26matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
45%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

58%
1455
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1532
46%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

60%
43%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
1.94
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.16

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2626
1.04
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.69
27%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

42%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

42%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

15%
23%
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%
46%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2626
0.85
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.27
54%
Scored > 0.567%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
62%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

58%
50%
Over 2.542%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

35%
19%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

19%
42%
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
15%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

12%
15%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

23%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2626
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.92
11.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.81
4.23
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.96
2.96
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.88
25/26
67%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

64%
23%
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2626
0.89
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.58
1.74
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.96
-0.86
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.62
-0.13
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.28
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2626
11.46
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.50
3.08
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.88
6.85
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.73
60%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

74%
27%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
7%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2626
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

75%
343.12
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

373.08
-0.13
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2626
23%6/26
Leading at HT29%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

35%9/26
46%12/26
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

62%16/26
31%8/26
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

4%1/26
62%16/26
HT/FT Same Outcome56%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%13/26
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%6/9
13%1/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered56%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 26/2626/262626
19%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

3%
24%
16-30'23%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

22%
14%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
14%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

6%
5%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
24%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 26/2626/262626
35%8/23
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

65%15/23
65%15/23
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

35%8/23
63%5/8
Win when Scoring First65%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%10/15
13%2/15
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

13%1/8
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

41'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

45'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 26/2626/262626
19%5/26
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

35%9/26
31%8/26
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%7/26
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%8/10
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%2/10
0%0/26
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/26

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 26/2626/262626
86%18/21
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%29/32
14%3/21
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%3/32
0%0/21
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/32
8%3/37
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%2/25
3%1/37
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/25

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2626
4.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.38
4.73
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.96
51%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
0.13
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.57
69%18/26
Match Corners > 8.573%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

77%20/26
58%15/26
Match Corners > 9.562%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

65%17/26
38%10/26
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

42%11/26

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 26/2626/262626
1.96
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.81
19%5/26
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

15%4/26
15.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

16.00
71%17/24
Match Cards > 3.585%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%21/21
24/2621/26
46%11/24
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

76%16/21
24/2621/26
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNancy at home · Mans on the road
1312
1.08
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
31%4/13
Win Rate32%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%4/12
54%7/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

17%2/12
0.69
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.58
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.42
31%4/13
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%2/12
23%3/13
BTTS49%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%9/12
38%5/13
Over 2.544%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%6/12
0.78
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.81
1.73
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.60