Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 17·12/12/2025·14:00
PAU
PAU
WLLWD
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Amiens
Amiens
LWLWL
📍 Nouste Camp, Pau
Season statsLigue 2
PAU16matchesAmiens16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
51%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1471
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1462
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

45%
48%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

43%
2.25
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.93

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1616
1.62
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.94
44%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

25%
31%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

19%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

56%
31%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%
19%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

31%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1616
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.19
81%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

69%
88%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

63%
56%
Over 2.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%
25%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

31%
50%
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

13%
25%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

19%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1616
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.56
9.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

16.75
3.63
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.88
2.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.06
62%
Save %62%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
31%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1616
1.43
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.77
1.77
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.66
-0.34
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.11
-0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.34
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.20

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1616
12.94
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

8.25
3.81
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.13
7.63
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.31
59%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
29%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

38%
11%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1616
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

45%
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
441.06
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

376.13
0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1616
38%6/16
Leading at HT34%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

31%5/16
19%3/16
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

31%5/16
44%7/16
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

38%6/16
63%10/16
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%10/16
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won72%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 16/1616/161616
18%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
23%
16-30'24%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

25%
27%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
9%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

31%
0%
61-75'6%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
23%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 16/1616/161616
50%8/16
Scored First45%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

40%6/15
50%8/16
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

60%9/15
75%6/8
Win when Scoring First54%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

33%2/6
13%1/8
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

22%2/9
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
17'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 16/1616/161616
31%5/16
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

25%4/16
19%3/16
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

44%7/16
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'73%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

60%3/5
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

40%2/5
0%0/16
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

6%1/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 16/1616/161616
91%20/22
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%16/16
5%1/22
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/16
5%1/22
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
13%3/23
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

14%4/28
4%1/23
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

11%3/28

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1616
5.25
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.00
4.81
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.31
52%
Corner Share45%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

39%
0.25
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.68
63%10/16
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

63%10/16
44%7/16
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%8/16
31%5/16
Match Corners > 10.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%8/16

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 16/1616/161616
2.38
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.19
25%4/16
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%1/16
11.38
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.56
79%11/14
Match Cards > 3.586%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

93%13/14
14/1614/16
64%9/14
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%8/14
14/1614/16
49%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePAU at home · Amiens on the road
88
1.62
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.25
50%4/8
Win Rate44%

Share of sampled matches won.

38%3/8
38%3/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%4/8
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.75
38%3/8
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%2/8
38%3/8
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%5/8
50%4/8
Over 2.556%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%5/8
1.38
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.78
1.73
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.66