Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 11·10/24/2025·14:00
PAU
PAU
DWWWW
0-3
Finished
HT0-2
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
LDWLD
📍 Nouste Camp, Pau
Season statsLigue 2
PAU10matchesDunkerque10matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
70%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

48%
1490
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1467
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

46%
73%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

50%
2.73
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.81

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
40%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
90%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
90%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
50%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
20%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
30%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
9.60
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.20
3.10
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.10
2.20
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.50
71%
Save %60%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

48%
40%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.86
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.66
1.57
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.54
0.29
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.12
-0.36
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.28
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.40
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.20
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.60
8.20
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.50
61%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

76%
30%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

41%
13%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

58%
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
432.60
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

494.00
0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.13

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

10%1/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

50%5/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
67%2/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered53%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%2/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
19%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

19%
19%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
25%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
13%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
0%
61-75'6%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
25%
76-90+'16%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

6%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored First53%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
100%5/5
Win when Scoring First70%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

40%2/5
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

18'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

10%1/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%2/3
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%1/3
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
94%15/16
Open-Play Share97%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%16/16
6%1/16
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/16
0%0/16
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
10%1/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%1/15
10%1/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.40
5.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.70
50%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
0.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.56
60%6/10
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

70%7/10
50%5/10
Match Corners > 9.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%6/10
40%4/10
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%4/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.90
20%2/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

20%2/10
9.90
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.20
78%7/9
Match Cards > 3.574%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

70%7/10
9/10
44%4/9
Match Cards > 4.537%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

30%3/10
9/10
50%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePAU at home · Dunkerque on the road
54
2.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.50
80%4/5
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/4
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%2/4
1.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.75
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
60%3/5
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
20%1/5
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
40%2/5
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.63
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.03
1.43
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.49