Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 11·11/25/2025·14:00
Bastia
Bastia
LWLWL
0-2
Finished
HT0-1
Laval
Laval
LWWLD
📍 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Season statsLigue 2
Bastia14matchesLaval14matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
37%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

50%
1506
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1545
35%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

41%
38%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

59%
2.47
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.12

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1414
0.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.86
7%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

14%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

43%
64%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%
29%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%
64%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

57%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1414
0.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.71
36%
Scored > 0.539%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

43%
43%
Over 1.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

57%
21%
Over 2.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

21%
21%
Over 3.514%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

7%
29%
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

7%
7%
Scored Both Halves7%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

7%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1414
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.14
9.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.43
3.07
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.71
1.79
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.79
58%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
29%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1414
1.38
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.42
1.42
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.22
-0.04
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.20
-0.24
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.27
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1414
11.64
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

9.71
3.29
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.57
6.36
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.00
55%
Box Shot %58%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
28%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
4%
Shot Conversion6%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

7%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1414
53%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

51%
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
381.14
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

433.07
0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1414
14%2/14
Leading at HT14%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

14%2/14
43%6/14
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%7/14
43%6/14
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

36%5/14
64%9/14
HT/FT Same Outcome64%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%9/14
0%0/2
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%2/2
0%0/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered20%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%2/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 14/1414/141414
0%
0-15'4%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
29%
16-30'27%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

25%
29%
31-45'27%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
14%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
14%
61-75'7%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
14%
76-90+'15%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

17%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 14/1414/141414
42%5/12
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

42%5/12
58%7/12
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

58%7/12
20%1/5
Win when Scoring First30%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

40%2/5
0%0/7
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/7
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

43'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 14/1414/141414
7%1/14
Scored after 75'11%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

14%2/14
36%5/14
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%4/14
0%0/2
Lead Saved after 75'25%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%2/4
100%2/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%2/4
7%1/14
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/14

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 14/1414/141414
86%6/7
Open-Play Share76%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

67%8/12
14%1/7
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

17%2/12
0%0/7
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

17%2/12
6%1/18
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%1/14
0%0/18
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/14

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1414
4.50
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.50
4.93
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.71
48%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

49%
0.05
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.65
50%7/14
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

79%11/14
36%5/14
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

71%10/14
36%5/14
Match Corners > 10.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

64%9/14

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 14/1414/141414
2.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.57
21%3/14
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%2/14
15.57
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.86
77%10/13
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

73%8/11
13/1411/14
69%9/13
Match Cards > 4.557%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

45%5/11
13/1411/14
68%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBastia at home · Laval on the road
67
0.83
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.29
17%1/6
Win Rate23%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%2/7
50%3/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%2/7
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.86
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.86
33%2/6
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%2/7
67%4/6
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%3/7
50%3/6
Over 2.532%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

14%1/7
1.87
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.70
1.58
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.15