Bundesliga·
Regular Season - 16·01/11/2026·11:30
Bayern München
Bayern München
WWDWW
8-1
Finished
HT2-1
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
DLWWD
📍 Allianz Arena, Munich
Season statsBundesliga
München15matchesWolfsburg15matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Bundesliga.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
80%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

53%
2060
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1592
80%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

46%
80%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

60%
4.48
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.62

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1515
2.73
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
87%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

27%
13%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

53%
53%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

7%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1515
3.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.53
100%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
100%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
100%
Over 2.583%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%
73%
Over 3.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

53%
47%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

73%
33%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
87%
Scored Both Halves60%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

33%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1515
0.73
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.87
8.60
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.93
1.80
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.07
1.07
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.27
59%
Save %62%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

64%
53%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

7%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1515
2.98
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.49
1.03
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.71
1.96
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.22
0.27
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.15
0.16
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1515
19.73
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.00
8.60
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.33
13.53
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.67
69%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
44%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
19%
Shot Conversion16%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1515
68%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

46%
90%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
724.87
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

409.07
0.31
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1515
67%10/15
Leading at HT50%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%5/15
33%5/15
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%5/15
0%0/15
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%5/15
80%12/15
HT/FT Same Outcome73%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%10/15
100%10/10
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
0/0
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 15/1515/151515
9%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

24%
19%
16-30'19%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

20%
19%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

8%
8%
46-60'12%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
13%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

24%
32%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

8%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 15/1515/151515
80%12/15
Scored First67%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

53%8/15
20%3/15
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

47%7/15
92%11/12
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%4/8
67%2/3
Win when Conceding First33%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/7
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

21'
15'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

12'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 15/1515/151515
73%11/15
Scored after 75'43%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%2/15
27%4/15
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

53%8/15
100%12/12
Lead Saved after 75'72%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

44%4/9
0%0/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

56%5/9
0%0/15
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/15

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 15/1515/151515
92%49/53
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%22/25
8%4/53
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/25
0%0/53
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

8%2/25
0%0/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

14%4/28
8%1/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/28

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1515
5.80
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.53
3.60
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

7.87
62%
Corner Share46%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

31%
2.13
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-3.52
53%8/15
Match Corners > 8.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

80%12/15
47%7/15
Match Corners > 9.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

73%11/15
33%5/15
Match Corners > 10.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

67%10/15

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 15/1515/151515
2.20
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.93
0%0/15
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%1/15
9.47
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.40
50%6/12
Match Cards > 3.558%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%8/12
12/1512/15
33%4/12
Match Cards > 4.538%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

42%5/12
12/1512/15
57%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMünchen at home · Wolfsburg on the road
87
2.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.43
88%7/8
Win Rate65%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%3/7
0%0/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%3/7
3.88
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.43
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.29
50%4/8
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%1/7
50%4/8
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

71%5/7
100%8/8
Over 2.579%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%4/7
3.05
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.79
0.63
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.41