Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 34·05/17/2026·15:00
Marseille
Marseille
WLDLW
3-1
Finished
HT2-0
Rennes
Rennes
WLWWW
📍 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Season statsLigue 1
Marseille33matchesRennes33matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1662
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1757
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
45%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

68%
2.36
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.69

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3333
1.70
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.79
52%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

52%
15%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

24%
33%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

24%
27%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
24%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

18%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3333
1.82
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.76
76%
Scored > 0.579%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

82%
73%
Over 1.577%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

82%
61%
Over 2.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

70%
39%
Over 3.544%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

48%
48%
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
24%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

27%
30%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3333
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.42
10.12
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.09
3.91
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.09
2.58
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.72
32/33
66%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

64%
27%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3333
1.73
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.66
1.49
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.53
0.24
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.14
-0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.27
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3333
14.73
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.79
5.58
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.94
9.30
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.48
63%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
38%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
12%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3333
57%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
544.45
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

477.21
0.13
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3333
39%13/33
Leading at HT41%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

42%14/33
36%12/33
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%11/33
24%8/33
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%8/33
48%16/33
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%23/33
77%10/13
Led at HT → Won78%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

79%11/14
38%3/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

13%1/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 33/3333/333333
10%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
16%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

27%
11%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

9%
16%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
18%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

14%
29%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 33/3333/333333
58%19/33
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

58%18/31
42%14/33
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

42%13/31
68%13/19
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%12/18
29%4/14
Win when Conceding First34%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

38%5/13
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 33/3333/333333
42%14/33
Scored after 75'36%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%10/33
36%12/33
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

33%11/33
67%12/18
Lead Saved after 75'73%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

79%11/14
33%6/18
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

21%3/14
3%1/33
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/33

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 33/3333/333333
85%53/62
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%51/56
10%6/62
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%5/56
5%3/62
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/56
12%5/42
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%4/49
2%1/42
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%2/49

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3333
5.21
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.85
3.39
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.61
61%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

56%
1.93
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.92
45%15/33
Match Corners > 8.558%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

70%23/33
36%12/33
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

61%20/33
21%7/33
Match Corners > 10.533%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

45%15/33

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 33/3333/333333
2.30
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.73
9%3/33
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

9%3/33
12.79
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.70
72%21/29
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%21/27
29/3327/33
62%18/29
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

59%16/27
29/3327/33
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

59%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMarseille at home · Rennes on the road
1616
2.12
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.56
63%10/16
Win Rate53%

Share of sampled matches won.

44%7/16
13%2/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%5/16
2.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.75
1.19
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.88
31%5/16
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%6/16
63%10/16
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%7/16
69%11/16
Over 2.572%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%12/16
1.90
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.56
1.23
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.66