Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 28·04/04/2026·11:00
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
WDDWD
3-1
Finished
HT3-0
Nice
Nice
LWLDL
📍 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Season statsLigue 1
Strasbourg27matchesNice27matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
66%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

43%
1735
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1561
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
66%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

39%
2.34
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.89

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2727
1.48
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
41%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

26%
26%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

22%
33%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

52%
33%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%
19%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

33%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2727
1.59
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.19
81%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

67%
70%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

78%
59%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%
33%
Over 3.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

48%
59%
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

15%
26%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

19%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2727
1.22
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.93
11.48
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

15.00
4.19
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.33
3.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.37
72%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
33%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2727
1.53
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.36
1.19
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.83
0.34
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.47
-0.02
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.29
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2727
11.30
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.41
4.59
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.07
8.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.33
71%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
41%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
14%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2727
53%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
518.89
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

425.22
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2727
37%10/27
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%9/27
48%13/27
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

19%5/27
15%4/27
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

48%13/27
44%12/27
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%17/27
60%6/10
Led at HT → Won58%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

56%5/9
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered20%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

15%2/13

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 27/2727/272727
7%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
16%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
18%
31-45'22%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

27%
18%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
16%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
25%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 27/2727/272727
63%15/24
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

42%11/26
38%9/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

58%15/26
67%10/15
Win when Scoring First65%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

64%7/11
11%1/9
Win when Conceding First6%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/15
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

29'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 27/2727/272727
33%9/27
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

15%4/27
30%8/27
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

41%11/27
70%7/10
Lead Saved after 75'73%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%6/8
30%3/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%2/8
0%0/27
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/27

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 27/2727/272727
86%38/44
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%28/30
11%5/44
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%2/30
2%1/44
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/30
9%3/32
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

15%8/54
0%0/32
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%2/54

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2727
4.19
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.04
4.26
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.70
50%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

47%
0.23
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.71
52%14/27
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%21/27
37%10/27
Match Corners > 9.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

67%18/27
30%8/27
Match Corners > 10.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

52%14/27

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 27/2727/272727
1.96
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.19
19%5/27
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%3/27
11.56
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.48
75%18/24
Match Cards > 3.574%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

72%18/25
24/2725/27
50%12/24
Match Cards > 4.541%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

32%8/25
24/2725/27
65%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeStrasbourg at home · Nice on the road
1313
1.85
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.77
54%7/13
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

23%3/13
23%3/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

69%9/13
1.62
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.15
0.69
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.08
54%7/13
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

8%1/13
46%6/13
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

62%8/13
54%7/13
Over 2.558%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

62%8/13
1.64
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.23
0.86
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.70