Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 24·03/01/2026·14:45
Marseille
Marseille
LDLWD
3-2
Finished
HT0-1
Lyon
Lyon
LWWWW
📍 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Season statsLigue 1
Marseille23matchesLyon23matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
41%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

73%
1688
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1833
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

78%
26%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

68%
3.84
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.60

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2323
1.74
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.96
52%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

61%
17%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
26%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

52%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2323
2.09
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.61
74%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

87%
74%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

57%
65%
Over 2.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

52%
48%
Over 3.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
48%
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%
26%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
39%
Scored Both Halves37%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

35%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2323
1.35
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
10.22
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.09
4.13
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.57
2.78
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.52
67%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
26%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

52%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2323
2.25
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.67
1.47
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.02
0.78
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.65
-0.12
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.28
0.16
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2323
14.22
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.83
5.70
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.61
8.96
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.04
63%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
40%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
15%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2323
58%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

55%
88%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
568.83
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

470.04
0.14
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.13

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2323
43%10/23
Leading at HT46%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

48%11/23
30%7/23
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

35%8/23
26%6/23
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

17%4/23
52%12/23
HT/FT Same Outcome57%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

61%14/23
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%8/11
33%2/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 23/2323/232323
10%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
18%
16-30'19%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

19%
12%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
14%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
20%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
26%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 23/2323/232323
57%13/23
Scored First64%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

71%15/21
43%10/23
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

29%6/21
69%9/13
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%12/15
30%3/10
Win when Conceding First32%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%2/6
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

37'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 23/2323/232323
43%10/23
Scored after 75'37%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%7/23
39%9/23
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%7/23
64%9/14
Lead Saved after 75'72%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%12/15
36%5/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%3/15
4%1/23
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/23

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 23/2323/232323
84%42/50
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%34/36
10%5/50
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/36
6%3/50
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/36
14%4/29
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/24
3%1/29
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%2/24

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2323
4.78
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.65
3.70
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.65
56%
Corner Share56%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
1.17
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.60
43%10/23
Match Corners > 8.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

65%15/23
35%8/23
Match Corners > 9.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

43%10/23
17%4/23
Match Corners > 10.526%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

35%8/23

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 23/2323/232323
2.17
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.96
13%3/23
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

26%6/23
12.78
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.00
70%14/20
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

85%17/20
20/2320/23
60%12/20
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

70%14/20
20/2320/23
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMarseille at home · Lyon on the road
1112
2.18
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
64%7/11
Win Rate53%

Share of sampled matches won.

42%5/12
9%1/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%4/12
2.64
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
1.18
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
36%4/11
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%5/12
55%6/11
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%6/12
73%8/11
Over 2.561%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%6/12
1.89
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.41
1.26
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.32