Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 17·01/03/2026·13:00
Nice
Nice
WLLLL
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
WWDWL
📍 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Season statsLigue 1
Nice16matchesStrasbourg16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
28%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1497
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1709
25%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

64%
30%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
2.40
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.11

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1616
1.06
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.44
31%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

44%
13%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
56%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

44%
13%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1616
1.19
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.56
75%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
75%
Over 1.569%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

63%
56%
Over 2.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%
44%
Over 3.538%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

31%
63%
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

6%
19%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1616
1.81
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
15.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.06
5.63
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.75
3.88
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.56
69%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
13%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1616
1.26
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.75
1.62
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.17
-0.36
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.58
-0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.19
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1616
11.13
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.13
3.94
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.19
6.88
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.88
62%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

71%
35%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

38%
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1616
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

87%
427.19
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

528.38
-0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1616
44%7/16
Leading at HT38%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

31%5/16
19%3/16
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%8/16
38%6/16
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

19%3/16
63%10/16
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

44%7/16
57%4/7
Led at HT → Won59%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
0%0/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 16/1616/161616
12%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

4%
18%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
35%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

15%
18%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

23%
6%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
12%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 16/1616/161616
50%8/16
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

67%10/15
50%8/16
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

33%5/15
63%5/8
Win when Scoring First66%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

70%7/10
0%0/8
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/5
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

48'
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

22'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 16/1616/161616
13%2/16
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%6/16
44%7/16
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%6/16
80%4/5
Lead Saved after 75'69%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

57%4/7
20%1/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

43%3/7
0%0/16
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 16/1616/161616
88%15/17
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%23/26
12%2/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%2/26
0%0/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%1/26
13%4/31
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%2/19
6%2/31
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/19

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1616
4.94
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.75
5.63
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.69
47%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
0.29
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.66
81%13/16
Match Corners > 8.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

31%5/16
63%10/16
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

25%4/16
44%7/16
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

25%4/16

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 16/1616/161616
2.19
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.13
13%2/16
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

25%4/16
12.44
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.63
79%11/14
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%10/14
14/1614/16
29%4/14
Match Cards > 4.539%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%7/14
14/1614/16
58%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

73%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNice at home · Strasbourg on the road
88
1.62
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.88
50%4/8
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%2/8
38%3/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

63%5/8
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
25%2/8
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%1/8
50%4/8
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%5/8
38%3/8
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%5/8
1.57
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.35
1.38
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.48