Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 17·01/04/2026·11:15
Lorient
Lorient
WDWWD
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
Metz
Metz
WLLLL
📍 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Season statsLigue 1
Lorient16matchesMetz16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
68%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

39%
1620
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1530
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

38%
81%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

39%
2.65
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.67

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1616
1.12
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.69
25%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

19%
38%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
38%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

69%
19%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%
38%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

38%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1616
1.19
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.06
63%
Scored > 0.563%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

63%
81%
Over 1.581%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

81%
44%
Over 2.553%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%
38%
Over 3.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

44%
50%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

6%
25%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1616
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.31
9.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.75
3.88
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

6.00
2.13
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.75
55%
Save %59%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
19%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1616
2.37
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.57
1.04
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.59
1.33
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.02
-0.50
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.05
0.19
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1616
11.94
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

8.94
3.88
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.19
7.81
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.88
65%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
32%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1616
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

86%
411.06
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

451.69
-0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1616
44%7/16
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

6%1/16
25%4/16
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%8/16
31%5/16
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

44%7/16
63%10/16
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

44%7/16
57%4/7
Led at HT → Won29%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0%0/1
20%1/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

14%1/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 16/1616/161616
10%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
5%
16-30'5%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
35%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

12%
20%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

12%
15%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
15%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

47%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 16/1616/161616
47%7/15
Scored First40%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%5/15
53%8/15
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%10/15
57%4/7
Win when Scoring First49%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

40%2/5
0%0/8
Win when Conceding First5%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

10%1/10
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

44'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

31'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 16/1616/161616
13%2/16
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%6/16
38%6/16
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

56%9/16
80%4/5
Lead Saved after 75'40%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

0%0/1
20%1/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

100%1/1
0%0/16
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 16/1616/161616
85%17/20
Open-Play Share81%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

76%13/17
5%1/20
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%3/17
10%2/20
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%1/17
15%4/27
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%4/37
4%1/27
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/37

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1616
3.13
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.13
5.19
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.25
38%
Corner Share41%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

44%
-1.16
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.58
38%6/16
Match Corners > 8.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

44%7/16
38%6/16
Match Corners > 9.531%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

25%4/16
19%3/16
Match Corners > 10.519%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

19%3/16

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 16/1616/161616
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.44
6%1/16
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

19%3/16
10.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.00
67%8/12
Match Cards > 3.558%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

50%6/12
12/1612/16
50%6/12
Match Cards > 4.546%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

42%5/12
12/1612/16
55%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLorient at home · Metz on the road
88
1.88
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.38
50%4/8
Win Rate31%

Share of sampled matches won.

13%1/8
13%1/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

88%7/8
2.13
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

3.38
25%2/8
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%1/8
75%6/8
BTTS69%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%5/8
63%5/8
Over 2.575%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

88%7/8
2.60
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.78
1.02
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.91