Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 9·10/26/2025·12:15
Rennes
Rennes
DDDDW
1-2
Finished
HT0-2
Nice
Nice
LWDLD
📍 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Season statsLigue 1
Rennes8matchesNice8matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
59%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

49%
1635
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1586
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

48%
60%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

50%
2.95
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.50

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
88
1.38
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.38
25%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

38%
63%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

25%
13%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%
25%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
88
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
75%
Scored > 0.581%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
75%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
63%
Over 2.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%
63%
Over 3.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

63%
63%
BTTS69%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
13%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
88
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.75
13.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

15.13
4.13
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.25
2.63
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.50
64%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
25%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
88
1.44
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.29
1.62
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.71
-0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.43
0.11
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.20
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
88
13.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.63
4.25
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.25
8.13
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.13
63%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
11%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
88
53%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
483.63
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

429.38
0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
88
38%3/8
Leading at HT44%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%4/8
38%3/8
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%2/8
25%2/8
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%2/8
38%3/8
HT/FT Same Outcome44%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%4/8
0%0/3
Led at HT → Won25%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%2/4
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 8/88/888
10%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
40%
16-30'29%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
10%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

27%
10%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

27%
0%
61-75'0%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
30%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

9%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 8/88/888
57%4/7
Scored First60%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%5/8
43%3/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

38%3/8
25%1/4
Win when Scoring First43%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%3/5
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 8/88/888
25%2/8
Scored after 75'19%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%1/8
38%3/8
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

63%5/8
0%0/2
Lead Saved after 75'33%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%2/3
100%2/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%1/3
13%1/8
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 8/88/888
90%9/10
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%10/11
10%1/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%1/11
0%0/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/11
15%2/13
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%3/15
8%1/13
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

7%1/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
88
4.63
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.75
4.13
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.13
53%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
0.61
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.25
38%3/8
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

88%7/8
25%2/8
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

63%5/8
25%2/8
Match Corners > 10.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%4/8

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 8/88/888
1.63
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.25
25%2/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%1/8
13.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.25
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.572%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

57%4/7
7/8
50%4/8
Match Cards > 4.539%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

29%2/7
7/8
48%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

55%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeRennes at home · Nice on the road
43
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.33
50%2/4
Win Rate25%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/3
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

67%2/3
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

3.00
50%2/4
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/3
50%2/4
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

100%3/3
50%2/4
Over 2.575%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

100%3/3
1.60
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.27
1.39
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.83