Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 8·10/18/2025·11:00
Nice
Nice
DLDLL
3-2
Finished
HT2-1
Lyon
Lyon
LWWWW
📍 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Last 10Ligue 1
Nice10matchesLyon10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
42%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

68%
1573
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1764
42%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

71%
41%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

64%
2.96
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.93

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
0.80
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.40
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

80%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
60%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
10%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

70%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

0%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
80%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

100%
80%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
60%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
40%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

10%
70%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
10%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.60
14.20
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.00
9/10
4.90
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.33
9/10
3.10
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.67
9/10
63%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

80%
9/10
10%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

70%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.37
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.77
1.62
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.19
-0.25
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.58
0.02
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.10
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
12.20
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.22
9/10
3.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.56
9/10
7.70
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.78
9/10
63%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
9/10
29%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
9/10
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%
9/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
9/10
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

86%
9/10
433.40
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

515.67
9/10
-0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.17

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
40%4/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

40%4/10
33%1/3
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%4/6
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
10%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
20%
16-30'27%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

33%
30%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

7%
20%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

7%
0%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
20%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored First65%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

90%9/10
60%6/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

10%1/10
50%2/4
Win when Scoring First64%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

78%7/9
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First50%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

100%1/1
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

87'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%3/10
40%4/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
50%1/2
Lead Saved after 75'63%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%6/8
50%1/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%2/8
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
70%7/10
Open-Play Share75%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

80%12/15
30%3/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%2/15
0%0/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%1/15
16%3/19
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

17%1/6
5%1/19
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

17%1/6

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.80
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.67
9/10
3.90
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.67
9/10
60%
Corner Share57%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
9/10
1.27
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.96
70%7/10
Match Corners > 8.568%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%6/9
9/10
50%5/10
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%4/9
9/10
40%4/10
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

44%4/9
9/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.11
9/10
10%1/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%1/9
9/10
12.70
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

15.33
9/10
67%6/9
Match Cards > 3.578%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%8/9
9/109/10
44%4/9
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%5/9
9/109/10
57%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNice at home · Lyon on the road
54
1.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.25
40%2/5
Win Rate57%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
40%2/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.75
20%1/5
Clean Sheet48%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

75%3/4
60%3/5
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

25%1/4
40%2/5
Over 2.533%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
1.59
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.36
1.14
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.57