League One·
Regular Season - 43·04/11/2026·10:00
Doncaster
Doncaster
LLWWD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Reading
Reading
LDWLW
📍 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Season statsLeague One
Doncaster41matchesReading42matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

59%
1511
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1498
48%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

60%
43%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

57%
1.88
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.68

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4142
1.22
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.48
34%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

38%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
46%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
24%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%
32%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

12%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4142
1.02
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.48
68%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
71%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

86%
51%
Over 2.551%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
20%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
49%
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

69%
15%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

19%
12%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4142
1.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.29
11.32
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.45
3.93
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.83
2.34
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.63
41/42
60%
Save %63%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
24%
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

19%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4142
1.33
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.51
1.58
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.49
-0.25
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.02
-0.41
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.08
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4142
12.44
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.93
3.51
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.79
8.12
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.67
65%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

61%
28%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
8%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4142
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

74%
356.05
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

399.57
-0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4142
27%11/41
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

36%15/42
46%19/41
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

45%19/42
27%11/41
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

19%8/42
54%22/41
HT/FT Same Outcome48%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

43%18/42
73%8/11
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

53%8/15
18%2/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered28%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

38%3/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 41/4142/424142
16%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
16%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
19%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
19%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
16%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
14%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

26%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 41/4142/424142
56%22/39
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

55%23/42
44%17/39
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

45%19/42
50%11/22
Win when Scoring First55%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

61%14/23
18%3/17
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

11%2/19
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 41/4142/424142
12%5/41
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

36%15/42
27%11/41
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%12/42
77%10/13
Lead Saved after 75'72%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%10/15
23%3/13
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%5/15
0%0/41
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/42

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 41/4142/424142
84%36/43
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%56/62
12%5/43
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%5/62
5%2/43
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/62
8%5/63
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/54
2%1/63
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/54

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4142
4.46
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.88
5.49
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.40
45%
Corner Share43%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

42%
-1.31
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.31
51%21/41
Match Corners > 8.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%21/42
39%16/41
Match Corners > 9.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

38%16/42
34%14/41
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%14/42

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 41/4142/424142
1.98
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.14
0%0/41
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/42
11.12
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.95
62%23/37
Match Cards > 3.567%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

73%24/33
37/4133/42
46%17/37
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

39%13/33
37/4133/42
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

72%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDoncaster at home · Reading on the road
2021
1.45
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.19
40%8/20
Win Rate34%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%6/21
35%7/20
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%8/21
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.43
1.45
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.43
25%5/20
Clean Sheet17%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%2/21
60%12/20
BTTS66%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

71%15/21
50%10/20
Over 2.549%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

48%10/21
1.23
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.45
1.72
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.47