League One·
Regular Season - 42·04/06/2026·10:00
Reading
Reading
DWLWD
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Lincoln
Lincoln
WWDWW
📍 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
Season statsLeague One
Reading41matchesLincoln40matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
61%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

82%
1598
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1714
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

84%
57%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

80%
2.34
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.62

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4140
1.51
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.17
39%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

65%
34%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
27%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

13%
20%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

43%
12%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4140
1.49
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.88
88%
Scored > 0.588%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
85%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
49%
Over 2.551%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

53%
27%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

33%
68%
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

48%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
29%
Scored Both Halves37%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

45%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4140
1.27
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.85
12.61
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.78
3.88
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.00
2.63
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.05
68%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
20%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

43%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4140
1.54
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.35
1.39
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.62
0.15
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.73
0.10
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.16
0.16
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4140
10.93
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.38
3.85
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.58
6.78
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.60
62%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
35%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
14%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

15%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4140
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

42%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

67%
394.05
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

315.88
-0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.13

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4140
37%15/41
Leading at HT51%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

65%26/40
46%19/41
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%10/40
17%7/41
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%4/40
41%17/41
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

68%27/40
53%8/15
Led at HT → Won67%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

81%21/26
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered34%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%1/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 41/4140/404140
13%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
13%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
21%
31-45'22%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

23%
10%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
18%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
25%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 41/4140/404140
56%23/41
Scored First61%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

67%26/39
44%18/41
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

33%13/39
61%14/23
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

81%21/26
11%2/18
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

38%5/13
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 41/4140/404140
34%14/41
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

35%14/40
27%11/41
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%8/40
67%10/15
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

83%20/24
33%5/15
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

17%4/24
0%0/41
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/40

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 41/4140/404140
90%55/61
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%66/71
8%5/61
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%4/71
2%1/61
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

1%1/71
2%1/52
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/38
2%1/52
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

13%5/38

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4140
3.90
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.15
5.46
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.03
42%
Corner Share43%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

45%
-2.51
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.28
51%21/41
Match Corners > 8.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

55%22/40
39%16/41
Match Corners > 9.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

38%15/40
34%14/41
Match Corners > 10.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

30%12/40

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 41/4140/404140
2.17
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.17
0%0/41
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

8%3/40
12.07
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.60
75%24/32
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

76%26/34
32/4134/40
41%13/32
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

53%18/34
32/4134/40
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeReading at home · Lincoln on the road
2019
1.85
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.84
50%10/20
Win Rate51%

Share of sampled matches won.

53%10/19
15%3/20
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%4/19
1.55
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.47
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.95
30%6/20
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

47%9/19
65%13/20
BTTS51%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

37%7/19
50%10/20
Over 2.546%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%8/19
1.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.72
1.28
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.83