League One·
Regular Season - 42·04/06/2026·10:00
Exeter City
Exeter City
LDLLL
3-0
Finished
HT1-0
Doncaster
Doncaster
LWWDW
📍 St James Park, Exeter
Season statsLeague One
City41matchesDoncaster40matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
26%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

58%
1487
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1511
32%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
19%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

63%
2.23
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.67

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4140
1.05
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.25
27%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

35%
24%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
49%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

45%
29%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%
39%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4140
1.02
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.05
61%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
61%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
41%
Over 2.546%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
22%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
39%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
5%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

15%
20%
Scored Both Halves16%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

13%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4140
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.52
12.46
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.28
3.90
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.88
2.63
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.33
68%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

60%
29%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4140
1.14
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.18
1.85
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.62
-0.72
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.44
-0.28
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.18
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4140
10.29
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.28
3.24
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.35
7.15
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.05
69%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
32%
On-Target %29%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

27%
10%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4140
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
76%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
415.29
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

355.38
0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4140
20%8/41
Leading at HT24%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

28%11/40
34%14/41
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

48%19/40
46%19/41
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%10/40
66%27/41
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

53%21/40
75%6/8
Led at HT → Won74%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%8/11
21%4/19
Trailed at HT → Recovered21%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%2/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 41/4140/404140
10%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

16%
15%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
10%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
27%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
20%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
20%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

14%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 41/4140/404140
34%13/38
Scored First46%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

58%22/38
66%25/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

42%16/38
77%10/13
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%11/22
4%1/25
Win when Conceding First11%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

19%3/16
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

34'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 41/4140/404140
22%9/41
Scored after 75'17%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%5/40
32%13/41
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%10/40
80%8/10
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

77%10/13
20%2/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

23%3/13
0%0/41
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/40

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 41/4140/404140
93%38/41
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

84%36/43
7%3/41
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%5/43
0%0/41
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%2/43
4%2/54
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%5/60
2%1/54
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/60

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4140
4.83
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.47
5.24
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.45
48%
Corner Share47%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

45%
-0.08
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.18
68%28/41
Match Corners > 8.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%20/40
51%21/41
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

38%15/40
37%15/41
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%13/40

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 41/4140/404140
1.90
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.02
0%0/41
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/40
12.24
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.15
57%20/35
Match Cards > 3.562%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

68%25/37
35/4137/40
34%12/35
Match Cards > 4.537%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

41%15/37
35/4137/40
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCity at home · Doncaster on the road
2020
1.35
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.05
35%7/20
Win Rate32%

Share of sampled matches won.

30%6/20
35%7/20
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

55%11/20
1.15
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.85
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.60
40%8/20
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%5/20
35%7/20
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%8/20
40%8/20
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%10/20
1.13
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.26
1.90
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.78