League One·
Regular Season - 33·02/17/2026·15:00
Reading
Reading
WWLWD
1-1
Finished
HT1-0
Bolton
Bolton
DWWWW
📍 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
Season statsLeague One
Reading31matchesBolton32matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
66%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

75%
1582
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1621
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

63%
67%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

87%
3.72
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.23

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3132
1.48
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.75
39%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

47%
32%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

34%
29%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
23%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

31%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

22%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3132
1.48
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.31
90%
Scored > 0.584%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

78%
87%
Over 1.581%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
48%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

41%
29%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

13%
68%
BTTS62%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
29%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

16%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3132
1.32
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.94
12.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.09
3.87
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.69
2.58
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.93
29/32
67%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

65%
23%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

31%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3132
1.61
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.51
1.45
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.17
0.16
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.34
0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.15
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3132
11.65
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.38
4.03
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.81
7.10
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.88
61%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
35%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

29%
13%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3132
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

60%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
405.74
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

470.19
0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3132
32%10/31
Leading at HT32%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

31%10/32
45%14/31
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%12/32
23%7/31
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

31%10/32
52%16/31
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

66%21/32
70%7/10
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

90%9/10
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered46%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%5/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 31/3132/323132
11%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
15%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
19%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
13%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
21%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

14%
21%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 31/3132/323132
55%17/31
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

59%17/29
45%14/31
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

41%12/29
71%12/17
Win when Scoring First74%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

76%13/17
0%0/14
Win when Conceding First8%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%2/12
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

37'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 31/3132/323132
35%11/31
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

34%11/32
23%7/31
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%6/32
82%9/11
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%9/12
18%2/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%3/12
0%0/31
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/32

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 31/3132/323132
91%43/47
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%40/42
6%3/47
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

2%1/42
2%1/47
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/42
3%1/40
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%2/30
0%0/40
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/30

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3132
4.03
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.22
5.03
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.84
44%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

62%
-1.30
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.22
48%15/31
Match Corners > 8.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

63%20/32
32%10/31
Match Corners > 9.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

53%17/32
29%9/31
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

41%13/32

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 31/3132/323132
2.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.69
0%0/31
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

3%1/32
11.68
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.44
62%16/26
Match Cards > 3.563%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

65%17/26
26/3126/32
46%12/26
Match Cards > 4.540%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

35%9/26
26/3126/32
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeReading at home · Bolton on the road
1616
1.81
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.19
50%8/16
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%4/16
19%3/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%5/16
1.44
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.81
1.13
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.19
31%5/16
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%4/16
63%10/16
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%9/16
44%7/16
Over 2.534%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%4/16
1.48
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.34
1.29
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.53