League One·
Regular Season - 26·03/11/2026·15:45
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
WDWLD
4-1
Finished
HT1-0
Blackpool
Blackpool
DLDWL
📍 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Season statsLeague One
Wimbledon34matchesBlackpool35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

48%
1420
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1431
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

48%
69%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

48%
3.43
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.14

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3435
1.35
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.09
38%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

29%
21%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
41%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

49%
21%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
35%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

31%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3435
1.24
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.17
65%
Scored > 0.567%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

69%
68%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
50%
Over 2.551%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

51%
29%
Over 3.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

34%
50%
BTTS49%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

49%
24%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

9%
35%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3435
1.41
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.57
11.82
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.09
3.68
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.51
2.39
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.86
33/34
63%
Save %63%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
21%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3435
1.40
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.39
1.79
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.18
-0.39
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.79
-0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.24
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3435
10.29
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

9.66
2.97
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.26
6.71
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.91
65%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
29%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
12%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3435
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

71%
340.71
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

360.37
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3435
24%8/34
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

31%11/35
56%19/34
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

37%13/35
21%7/34
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

31%11/35
50%17/34
HT/FT Same Outcome49%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

49%17/35
88%7/8
Led at HT → Won71%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

55%6/11
29%2/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered23%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

18%2/11

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 34/3435/353435
12%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
12%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
19%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
14%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
29%
61-75'21%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
14%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

26%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 34/3435/353435
44%14/32
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

40%14/35
56%18/32
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

60%21/35
64%9/14
Win when Scoring First61%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

57%8/14
22%4/18
Win when Conceding First16%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

10%2/21
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

38'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 34/3435/353435
18%6/34
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%10/35
35%12/34
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

31%11/35
71%10/14
Lead Saved after 75'72%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

73%8/11
29%4/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

27%3/11
0%0/34
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 34/3435/353435
88%37/42
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

97%38/39
10%4/42
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/39
2%1/42
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/39
2%1/48
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%4/57
2%1/48
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%2/57

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3435
4.24
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.86
5.21
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.29
45%
Corner Share44%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

42%
-0.76
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.57
65%22/34
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

54%19/35
44%15/34
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

46%16/35
32%11/34
Match Corners > 10.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

31%11/35

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 34/3435/353435
1.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.06
6%2/34
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

9%3/35
12.68
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.09
54%15/28
Match Cards > 3.558%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

63%19/30
28/3430/35
32%9/28
Match Cards > 4.539%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

47%14/30
28/3430/35
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

61%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeWimbledon at home · Blackpool on the road
1617
1.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.71
44%7/16
Win Rate31%

Share of sampled matches won.

18%3/17
38%6/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

65%11/17
1.06
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.88
0.81
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.71
31%5/16
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

12%2/17
38%6/16
BTTS39%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

41%7/17
31%5/16
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%8/17
1.16
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.07
1.13
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.15