League One·
Regular Season - 19·12/09/2025·15:00
Reading
Reading
WDWDD
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Peterborough
Peterborough
LLLLW
📍 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
Season statsLeague One
Reading17matchesPeterborough17matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League One.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
70%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

39%
1471
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1413
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

51%
76%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

27%
2.05
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.97

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1717
1.29
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.94
29%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

29%
41%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

6%
29%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

65%
24%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
12%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

35%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1717
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.12
88%
Scored > 0.576%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

65%
82%
Over 1.579%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
35%
Over 2.547%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

59%
12%
Over 3.512%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

12%
65%
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

41%
6%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

6%
18%
Scored Both Halves15%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

12%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1717
1.18
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.47
11.88
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.29
3.65
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.41
2.47
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.94
68%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
24%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1717
1.72
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.35
1.39
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.38
0.33
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.03
-0.28
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.09
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1717
12.41
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.53
4.35
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.18
6.71
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.41
54%
Box Shot %57%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

61%
35%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

30%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1717
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
394.82
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

427.53
0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1717
29%5/17
Leading at HT29%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%5/17
41%7/17
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

29%5/17
29%5/17
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

41%7/17
47%8/17
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

71%12/17
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won70%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
60%3/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 17/1717/171717
10%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
14%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
19%
31-45'30%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

40%
0%
46-60'5%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
33%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

5%
24%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 17/1717/171717
47%8/17
Scored First47%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

47%8/17
53%9/17
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

53%9/17
63%5/8
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

63%5/8
0%0/9
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/9
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 17/1717/171717
29%5/17
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

24%4/17
12%2/17
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

24%4/17
80%4/5
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

83%5/6
20%1/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

17%1/6
0%0/17
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/17

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 17/1717/171717
90%19/21
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%17/20
5%1/21
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%2/20
5%1/21
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/20
5%1/19
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/24
0%0/19
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/24

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1717
4.53
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.82
4.94
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.18
48%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
0.22
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.21
53%9/17
Match Corners > 8.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

35%6/17
41%7/17
Match Corners > 9.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

24%4/17
35%6/17
Match Corners > 10.524%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

12%2/17

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 17/1717/171717
2.24
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.94
0%0/17
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%1/17
12.18
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.00
64%9/14
Match Cards > 3.560%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

56%9/16
14/1716/17
57%8/14
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

44%7/16
14/1716/17
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeReading at home · Peterborough on the road
98
1.67
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.75
44%4/9
Win Rate35%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%2/8
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

75%6/8
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.88
0.89
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.75
33%3/9
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%2/8
56%5/9
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
22%2/9
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%5/8
1.48
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.25
1.16
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.70