Championship·
Regular Season - 40·04/03/2026·15:00
Coventry
Coventry
WLWWW
3-2
Finished
HT1-1
Derby
Derby
WWLWW
📍 Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Season statsChampionship
Coventry39matchesDerby39matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
73%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

61%
1540
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1484
69%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
76%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

65%
2.84
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.27

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3939
2.05
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.54
62%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

44%
21%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
18%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%
36%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%
13%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3939
2.08
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.44
87%
Scored > 0.588%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
85%
Over 1.579%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
64%
Over 2.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

49%
33%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
59%
BTTS62%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%
33%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
38%
Scored Both Halves29%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3939
1.03
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.23
12.03
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.49
3.85
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.03
2.90
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.97
75%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
36%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3939
1.93
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.35
1.17
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.04
0.76
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.31
-0.03
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.11
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3939
16.67
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.59
5.74
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.49
11.67
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.23
70%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
34%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
12%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3939
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

44%
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

73%
424.90
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

330.67
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3939
49%19/39
Leading at HT44%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

38%15/39
36%14/39
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%13/39
15%6/39
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

28%11/39
51%20/39
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%22/39
74%14/19
Led at HT → Won74%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%11/15
67%4/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered52%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

36%4/11

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 39/3939/393939
16%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

16%
10%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
25%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
19%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
11%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
19%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

14%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 39/3939/393939
69%25/36
Scored First64%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

59%23/39
31%11/36
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

41%16/39
76%19/25
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

65%15/23
45%5/11
Win when Conceding First29%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

13%2/16
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

24'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 39/3939/393939
36%14/39
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%8/39
21%8/39
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

28%11/39
95%18/19
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

68%13/19
5%1/19
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

32%6/19
0%0/39
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/39

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 39/3939/393939
93%74/80
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%49/56
6%5/80
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%4/56
1%1/80
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%3/56
5%2/41
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%4/48
5%2/41
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%3/48

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3939
5.41
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.56
4.62
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.44
54%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

46%
1.22
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.82
74%29/39
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

54%21/39
49%19/39
Match Corners > 9.549%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

49%19/39
38%15/39
Match Corners > 10.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

38%15/39

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 39/3939/393939
1.64
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.44
8%3/39
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

8%3/39
9.49
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.87
71%24/34
Match Cards > 3.570%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%22/32
34/3932/39
53%18/34
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

34%11/32
34/3932/39
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCoventry at home · Derby on the road
1919
2.37
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.58
74%14/19
Win Rate61%

Share of sampled matches won.

47%9/19
11%2/19
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

37%7/19
2.11
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.53
0.79
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.21
37%7/19
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%5/19
58%11/19
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%11/19
63%12/19
Over 2.561%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

58%11/19
2.25
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.36
1.03
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.23