Championship·
Regular Season - 39·03/21/2026·08:30
Ipswich
Ipswich
WDDWW
1-1
Finished
HT1-0
Millwall
Millwall
LWWWW
📍 Portman Road, Ipswich
Season statsChampionship
Ipswich37matchesMillwall38matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1574
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1525
62%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

67%
64%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

65%
2.77
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.84

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3738
1.84
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.79
51%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

53%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

21%
19%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
38%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

39%
11%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

18%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3738
1.78
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.37
89%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

82%
84%
Over 1.581%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
51%
Over 2.551%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
27%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

24%
57%
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

47%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
35%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3738
1.03
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.13
10.08
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.47
3.35
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.03
2.32
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.84
69%
Save %70%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
38%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

39%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3738
1.67
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.52
1.06
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.35
0.61
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.17
0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.07
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3738
15.38
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.71
5.11
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.18
10.16
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.74
66%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
12%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3738
57%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
444.73
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

343.11
0.14
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3738
38%14/37
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

32%12/38
41%15/37
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

53%20/38
22%8/37
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

16%6/38
68%25/37
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%24/38
93%13/14
Led at HT → Won96%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%12/12
38%3/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 37/3738/383738
10%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
7%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
20%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
16%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

12%
16%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
31%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 37/3738/383738
54%19/35
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%18/36
46%16/35
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%18/36
89%17/19
Win when Scoring First89%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

89%16/18
13%2/16
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

22%4/18
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

35'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 37/3738/383738
49%18/37
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

32%12/38
16%6/37
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%11/38
100%14/14
Lead Saved after 75'91%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

81%13/16
0%0/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

19%3/16
0%0/37
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/38

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 37/3738/383738
89%54/61
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%48/50
10%6/61
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/50
2%1/61
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%2/50
9%4/43
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/45
14%6/43
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%4/45

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3738
5.68
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.47
3.78
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.97
60%
Corner Share56%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
2.38
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.20
65%24/37
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

66%25/38
35%13/37
Match Corners > 9.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%19/38
30%11/37
Match Corners > 10.537%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

45%17/38

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 37/3738/383738
1.84
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.87
0%0/37
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

8%3/38
11.14
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.79
78%25/32
Match Cards > 3.574%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%24/34
32/3734/38
59%19/32
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

41%14/34
32/3734/38
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeIpswich at home · Millwall on the road
1918
2.21
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.78
63%12/19
Win Rate57%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%9/18
5%1/19
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

22%4/18
1.84
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
0.68
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.11
47%9/19
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%6/18
47%9/19
BTTS51%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%10/18
53%10/19
Over 2.549%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%8/18
1.81
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.44
0.58
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.50