Championship·
Regular Season - 38·03/14/2026·11:00
Millwall
Millwall
WWWWL
1-2
Finished
HT0-0
Blackburn
Blackburn
LDLLW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall37matchesBlackburn37matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
79%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

37%
1525
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1417
70%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

41%
88%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

33%
2.77
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.29

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3737
1.84
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.05
54%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

27%
22%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

24%
24%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

49%
41%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
19%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

32%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3737
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.92
81%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

68%
78%
Over 1.576%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

73%
49%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

41%
24%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

14%
46%
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

49%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
22%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

14%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3737
1.11
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.30
12.27
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.49
4.03
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.57
2.86
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.44
36/37
71%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
41%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3737
1.54
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.08
1.25
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.08
0.29
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.00
0.10
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.20
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3737
12.81
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.59
4.22
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.27
8.81
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.81
69%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

67%
33%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

28%
11%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3737
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

74%
342.62
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

390.70
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3737
32%12/37
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

27%10/37
51%19/37
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

43%16/37
16%6/37
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%11/37
65%24/37
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

54%20/37
100%12/12
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%6/10
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered22%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

27%3/11

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 37/3737/373737
8%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
14%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
18%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

24%
10%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
18%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
31%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

22%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 37/3737/373737
49%17/35
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

51%18/35
51%18/35
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

49%17/35
94%16/17
Win when Scoring First72%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%9/18
22%4/18
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

6%1/17
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

42'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 37/3737/373737
32%12/37
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

19%7/37
27%10/37
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

35%13/37
87%13/15
Lead Saved after 75'80%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

73%8/11
13%2/15
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

27%3/11
0%0/37
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/37

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 37/3737/373737
96%47/49
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%33/37
0%0/49
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/37
4%2/49
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

8%3/37
2%1/43
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%3/45
9%4/43
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/45

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3737
5.38
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.38
4.92
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.68
52%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
1.13
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.27
65%24/37
Match Corners > 8.572%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%29/37
49%18/37
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

59%22/37
43%16/37
Match Corners > 10.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

35%13/37

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 37/3737/373737
1.92
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.14
5%2/37
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

3%1/37
12.92
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.24
73%24/33
Match Cards > 3.581%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%25/28
33/3728/37
42%14/33
Match Cards > 4.546%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%14/28
33/3728/37
68%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Blackburn on the road
1918
1.89
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.17
58%11/19
Win Rate46%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%6/18
26%5/19
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%9/18
1.42
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.89
1.11
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.28
47%9/19
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%6/18
37%7/19
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%6/18
53%10/19
Over 2.549%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%8/18
1.46
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.98
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38