Championship·
Regular Season - 30·01/31/2026·10:00
Ipswich
Ipswich
LWWWW
1-1
Finished
HT0-0
Preston
Preston
LLLLW
📍 Portman Road, Ipswich
Season statsChampionship
Ipswich28matchesPreston29matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
71%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

34%
1587
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1424
70%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
72%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

20%
2.79
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.34

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2829
1.79
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.48
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

38%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

34%
21%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

28%
36%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

28%
14%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

24%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2829
1.71
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.24
86%
Scored > 0.581%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

76%
82%
Over 1.579%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
54%
Over 2.549%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
29%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

17%
57%
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%
21%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
32%
Scored Both Halves32%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

31%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2829
0.96
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.14
10.07
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.62
3.32
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.93
2.36
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.90
71%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
36%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

28%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2829
1.64
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.98
0.90
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.47
0.74
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.49
0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.07
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2829
15.68
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.24
5.11
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.69
10.11
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.21
64%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
11%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2829
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

45%
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

73%
439.32
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

345.48
0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2829
39%11/28
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

34%10/29
39%11/28
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

31%9/29
21%6/28
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

34%10/29
75%21/28
HT/FT Same Outcome72%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

69%20/29
91%10/11
Led at HT → Won85%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%8/10
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered28%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%4/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 28/2829/292829
11%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

22%
7%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
20%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
20%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
16%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
27%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 28/2829/292829
58%15/26
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%15/27
42%11/26
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%12/27
87%13/15
Win when Scoring First73%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%9/15
9%1/11
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%2/12
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 28/2829/292829
43%12/28
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%11/29
14%4/28
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

17%5/29
100%11/11
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%8/10
0%0/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%2/10
0%0/28
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/29

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 28/2829/292829
89%40/45
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%34/37
9%4/45
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/37
2%1/45
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%2/37
7%2/30
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/32
13%4/30
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/32

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2829
5.54
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.28
3.96
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.00
58%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

42%
1.94
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.69
68%19/28
Match Corners > 8.568%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

69%20/29
29%8/28
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

59%17/29
29%8/28
Match Corners > 10.533%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

38%11/29

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 28/2829/292829
1.61
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.07
0%0/28
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%3/29
10.79
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.41
70%16/23
Match Cards > 3.567%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

65%13/20
23/2820/29
57%13/23
Match Cards > 4.553%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%10/20
23/2820/29
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeIpswich at home · Preston on the road
1514
2.27
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.43
67%10/15
Win Rate51%

Share of sampled matches won.

36%5/14
7%1/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%4/14
1.93
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.21
0.73
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.21
47%7/15
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%4/14
47%7/15
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%8/14
60%9/15
Over 2.551%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%6/14
1.76
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.93
0.80
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.57