Championship·
Regular Season - 26·01/04/2026·10:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
LLDLW
4-0
Finished
HT0-0
Southampton
Southampton
DDLDL
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough25matchesSouthampton25matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
44%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1471
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1480
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

56%
34%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

45%
1.91
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.67

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2525
1.72
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.32
48%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

32%
28%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

36%
24%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

32%
24%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%
28%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

16%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2525
1.32
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.52
72%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

84%
68%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

88%
48%
Over 2.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

64%
16%
Over 3.524%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

32%
56%
BTTS68%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%
32%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

28%
16%
Scored Both Halves14%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

12%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2525
1.04
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.36
10.24
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.84
2.96
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.64
1.96
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.24
66%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
24%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2525
1.25
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.53
0.98
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.31
0.27
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.22
-0.09
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.05
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2525
14.28
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.56
4.08
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.20
8.52
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.64
60%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
29%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2525
57%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

58%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
488.12
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

485.12
0.20
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.14

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2525
32%8/25
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

28%7/25
28%7/25
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

52%13/25
40%10/25
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%5/25
64%16/25
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%14/25
100%8/8
Led at HT → Won86%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

71%5/7
50%5/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered55%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

60%3/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 25/2525/252525
6%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
9%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

32%
31%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
16%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
13%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

7%
25%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

15%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 25/2525/252525
43%10/23
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

64%14/22
57%13/23
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

36%8/22
100%10/10
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

43%6/14
15%2/13
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%2/8
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

24'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 25/2525/252525
28%7/25
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%5/25
20%5/25
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

32%8/25
100%10/10
Lead Saved after 75'85%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

70%7/10
0%0/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

30%3/10
0%0/25
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/25

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 25/2525/252525
97%31/32
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%38/41
0%0/32
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%2/41
3%1/32
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/41
4%1/27
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/33
7%2/27
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/33

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2525
6.28
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.56
4.24
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.52
60%
Corner Share57%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
2.94
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.41
68%17/25
Match Corners > 8.572%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

76%19/25
52%13/25
Match Corners > 9.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

52%13/25
44%11/25
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%10/25

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 25/2525/252525
1.64
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.88
4%1/25
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

4%1/25
9.56
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.12
84%16/19
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

65%15/23
19/2523/25
42%8/19
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

43%10/23
19/2523/25
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Southampton on the road
1213
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
58%7/12
Win Rate41%

Share of sampled matches won.

23%3/13
17%2/12
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

46%6/13
1.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.62
0.92
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.77
33%4/12
Clean Sheet17%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/13
58%7/12
BTTS79%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

100%13/13
50%6/12
Over 2.563%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

77%10/13
1.20
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.65
1.14
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.49