Championship·
Regular Season - 26·01/04/2026·10:00
Derby
Derby
WLDDW
1-2
Finished
HT1-1
Wrexham
Wrexham
WWWLD
📍 Pride Park, Derby
Season statsChampionship
Derby25matchesWrexham25matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
54%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

69%
1459
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1541
51%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

61%
57%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

76%
2.39
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.26

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2525
1.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.48
36%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

36%
32%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
32%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

24%
20%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

28%
8%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

16%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2525
1.36
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.44
92%
Scored > 0.588%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

84%
76%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
48%
Over 2.544%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
24%
Over 3.526%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

28%
72%
BTTS68%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

16%
24%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2525
1.32
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.24
12.60
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

15.28
4.24
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.56
3.08
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.46
24/25
73%
Save %73%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

73%
20%
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

28%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2525
1.00
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.39
1.17
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.35
-0.17
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.04
0.33
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.21
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2525
9.36
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.88
3.16
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.84
6.44
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.80
69%
Box Shot %70%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
34%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
15%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2525
42%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

46%
72%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
320.60
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

393.80
-0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2525
36%9/25
Leading at HT38%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%10/25
36%9/25
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

24%6/25
28%7/25
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

36%9/25
56%14/25
HT/FT Same Outcome48%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

40%10/25
67%6/9
Led at HT → Won53%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

40%4/10
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered55%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%6/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 25/2525/252525
12%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
12%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
18%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
24%
46-60'24%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

23%
18%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
15%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 25/2525/252525
56%14/25
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

61%14/23
44%11/25
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

39%9/23
64%9/14
Win when Scoring First54%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

43%6/14
0%0/11
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%3/9
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

22'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 25/2525/252525
20%5/25
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

36%9/25
28%7/25
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

40%10/25
70%7/10
Lead Saved after 75'62%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

55%6/11
30%3/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

45%5/11
0%0/25
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/25

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 25/2525/252525
88%29/33
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%31/35
9%3/33
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%3/35
3%1/33
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/35
12%4/34
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/33
6%2/34
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%3/33

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2525
4.84
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.52
5.96
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.64
45%
Corner Share45%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

44%
-0.99
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.76
64%16/25
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

64%16/25
56%14/25
Match Corners > 9.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%14/25
48%12/25
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

32%8/25

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 25/2525/252525
2.36
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.68
4%1/25
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

4%1/25
11.80
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.40
60%12/20
Match Cards > 3.564%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

68%13/19
20/2519/25
40%8/20
Match Cards > 4.538%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

37%7/19
20/2519/25
73%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDerby at home · Wrexham on the road
1312
1.31
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.17
31%4/13
Win Rate28%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%3/12
31%4/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%4/12
1.23
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
23%3/13
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%4/12
69%9/13
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%6/12
31%4/13
Over 2.528%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%3/12
1.08
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.04
1.00
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.54