Championship·
Regular Season - 25·01/01/2026·10:00
Derby
Derby
LDDWD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
LDLWW
📍 Pride Park, Derby
Season statsChampionship
Derby24matchesMiddlesbrough24matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

49%
1450
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1480
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

59%
39%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

39%
2.68
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.36

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2424
1.33
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.79
33%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
33%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
33%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
17%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%
8%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

25%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2424
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
92%
Scored > 0.583%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

75%
79%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

71%
50%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
25%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

17%
75%
BTTS67%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
17%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

33%
25%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

17%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2424
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.04
12.33
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.38
4.21
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.96
3.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.96
71%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

66%
17%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2424
1.00
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.25
1.17
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.98
-0.17
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.28
0.35
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.00
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2424
9.46
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.08
3.17
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.04
6.54
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.46
69%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
33%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

29%
15%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2424
42%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
72%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
323.71
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

486.33
-0.16
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.19

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2424
38%9/24
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%8/24
33%8/24
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%6/24
29%7/24
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

42%10/24
58%14/24
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%16/24
67%6/9
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%8/8
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered46%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%5/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 24/2424/242424
13%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
13%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

9%
19%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

31%
25%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
16%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
16%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 24/2424/242424
54%13/24
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

45%10/22
46%11/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

55%12/22
62%8/13
Win when Scoring First81%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%10/10
0%0/11
Win when Conceding First8%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%2/12
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

24'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 24/2424/242424
21%5/24
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%7/24
29%7/24
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

21%5/24
67%6/9
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%10/10
33%3/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/10
0%0/24
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/24

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 24/2424/242424
88%28/32
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

97%31/32
9%3/32
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/32
3%1/32
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/32
12%4/34
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/26
6%2/34
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%2/26

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2424
4.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.17
5.83
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.25
46%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

59%
-0.65
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.77
63%15/24
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%16/24
54%13/24
Match Corners > 9.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%12/24
46%11/24
Match Corners > 10.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

42%10/24

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 24/2424/242424
2.38
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.63
4%1/24
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

4%1/24
11.79
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.58
58%11/19
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

83%15/18
19/2418/24
42%8/19
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

44%8/18
19/2418/24
71%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

60%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDerby at home · Middlesbrough on the road
1212
1.17
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.58
25%3/12
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

42%5/12
33%4/12
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%3/12
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.42
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
17%2/12
Clean Sheet17%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%2/12
75%9/12
BTTS67%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%7/12
33%4/12
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%6/12
1.09
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.21
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.00