Championship·
Regular Season - 23·12/26/2025·08:00
Millwall
Millwall
LLDWW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Ipswich
Ipswich
WLWWD
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall22matchesIpswich22matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
45%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

62%
1474
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1557
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

64%
39%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

59%
2.64
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.81

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2222
1.59
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.68
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

45%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
32%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

23%
32%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%
23%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2222
1.14
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.73
77%
Scored > 0.582%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
77%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

82%
45%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

55%
27%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

32%
45%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

23%
9%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

32%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2222
1.41
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.05
12.18
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.00
4.23
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.27
2.86
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.23
68%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
32%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2222
1.19
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.57
1.36
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.88
-0.16
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.70
-0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.07
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2222
12.64
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.77
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.05
8.27
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.00
65%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

63%
32%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2222
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
350.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

438.36
-0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2222
27%6/22
Leading at HT32%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

36%8/22
45%10/22
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

41%9/22
27%6/22
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

23%5/22
68%15/22
HT/FT Same Outcome70%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

73%16/22
100%6/6
Led at HT → Won94%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

88%7/8
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered18%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%1/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 22/2222/222222
12%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
8%
16-30'7%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
23%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
15%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
19%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

17%
23%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 22/2222/222222
45%10/22
Scored First51%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%12/21
55%12/22
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%9/21
90%9/10
Win when Scoring First87%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%10/12
8%1/12
Win when Conceding First4%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/9
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

29'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 22/2222/222222
23%5/22
Scored after 75'34%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

45%10/22
41%9/22
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

18%4/22
80%8/10
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%8/8
20%2/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/8
0%0/22
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/22

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 22/2222/222222
92%24/26
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%32/36
0%0/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%3/36
8%2/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/36
3%1/30
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%2/25
3%1/30
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

12%3/25

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2222
5.32
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.23
5.27
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.18
50%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

56%
0.03
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.10
68%15/22
Match Corners > 8.566%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

64%14/22
55%12/22
Match Corners > 9.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

23%5/22
50%11/22
Match Corners > 10.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

23%5/22

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 22/2222/222222
1.82
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.59
9%2/22
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/22
13.18
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.50
79%15/19
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

72%13/18
19/2218/22
47%9/19
Match Cards > 4.543%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

39%7/18
19/2218/22
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Ipswich on the road
1110
1.73
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.20
55%6/11
Win Rate42%

Share of sampled matches won.

30%3/10
36%4/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%4/10
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
1.36
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.30
45%5/11
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%1/10
27%3/11
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%8/10
45%5/11
Over 2.548%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%5/10
1.47
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.35
1.08
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.25