Championship·
Regular Season - 12·10/25/2025·10:00
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
WWLDD
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
Wrexham
Wrexham
WLDDD
📍 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Season statsChampionship
Middlesbrough11matchesWrexham11matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
66%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

59%
1487
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1521
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

62%
66%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
1.86
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.97

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1111
2.18
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.18
64%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

27%
27%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

36%
9%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

36%
45%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

18%
18%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

9%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1111
1.36
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.36
82%
Scored > 0.586%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

91%
55%
Over 1.568%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

82%
45%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
9%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

36%
45%
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

73%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

9%
18%
Scored Both Halves14%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

9%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1111
0.64
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.45
11.45
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.64
2.36
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.27
1.64
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.20
10/11
69%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
45%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

18%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1111
1.14
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.60
1.23
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.20
-0.09
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.40
-0.03
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.09
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1111
12.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.91
3.91
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.27
7.55
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.91
63%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

73%
33%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1111
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

44%
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
448.45
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

377.73
0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1111
36%4/11
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

36%4/11
45%5/11
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

27%3/11
18%2/11
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

36%4/11
64%7/11
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

36%4/11
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

25%1/4
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 11/1111/111111
7%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

19%
7%
16-30'7%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
14%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
21%
46-60'26%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

31%
21%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
29%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 11/1111/111111
60%6/10
Scored First62%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

64%7/11
40%4/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

36%4/11
100%6/6
Win when Scoring First64%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

29%2/7
25%1/4
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 11/1111/111111
27%3/11
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

27%3/11
36%4/11
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

45%5/11
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%3/6
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%3/6
0%0/11
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/11

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 11/1111/111111
100%14/14
Open-Play Share94%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%14/16
0%0/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/16
0%0/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%1/16
0%0/8
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/15
13%1/8
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1111
5.18
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.36
5.18
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.55
50%
Corner Share47%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

44%
0.25
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.53
73%8/11
Match Corners > 8.568%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

64%7/11
55%6/11
Match Corners > 9.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

55%6/11
45%5/11
Match Corners > 10.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

18%2/11

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 11/1111/111111
2.36
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.45
0%0/11
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

9%1/11
9.27
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

8.09
89%8/9
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

63%5/8
9/118/11
56%5/9
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

38%3/8
9/118/11
65%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMiddlesbrough at home · Wrexham on the road
55
2.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.40
80%4/5
Win Rate60%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%2/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
60%3/5
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
40%2/5
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
40%2/5
Over 2.540%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
1.07
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.57
1.37
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38