Championship·
Regular Season - 9·10/04/2025·10:00
Millwall
Millwall
LDWDD
3-0
Finished
HT1-0
West Brom
West Brom
WDLLW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall8matchesBrom8matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
54%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

55%
1484
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1453
59%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

56%
48%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

53%
2.12
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.92

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
88
1.38
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.75
38%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
25%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

25%
38%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%
25%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%
38%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

13%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
88
0.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.13
63%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
75%
Over 1.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
38%
Over 2.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%
13%
Over 3.513%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

13%
38%
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

13%
0%
Scored Both Halves6%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

13%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
88
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.88
12.25
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.63
3.63
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.75
1.88
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.88
52%
Save %60%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
25%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
88
1.24
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.23
1.29
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.03
-0.05
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.20
-0.26
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.05
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
88
14.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.00
3.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.63
8.63
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.00
62%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
21%
On-Target %25%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

28%
5%
Shot Conversion7%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
88
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
73%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

86%
372.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

482.25
-0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
88
25%2/8
Leading at HT44%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

63%5/8
50%4/8
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%2/8
25%2/8
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

13%1/8
50%4/8
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%4/8
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 8/88/888
17%
0-15'23%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

30%
0%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

30%
33%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
17%
46-60'8%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
0%
61-75'5%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
33%
76-90+'32%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 8/88/888
38%3/8
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

75%6/8
63%5/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

25%2/8
100%3/3
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%4/6
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

18'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

55'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 8/88/888
25%2/8
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%3/8
38%3/8
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%2/8
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
0%0/8
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 8/88/888
100%6/6
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%9/10
0%0/6
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/10
0%0/6
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

10%1/10
0%0/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/6
0%0/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/6

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
88
5.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.38
5.25
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.63
49%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
-0.84
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.99
63%5/8
Match Corners > 8.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%4/8
63%5/8
Match Corners > 9.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%4/8
50%4/8
Match Corners > 10.531%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

13%1/8

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 8/88/888
2.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.88
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%1/8
14.38
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.75
86%6/7
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%4/6
7/86/8
29%2/7
Match Cards > 4.548%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

67%4/6
7/86/8
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

84%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Brom on the road
44
0.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.25
25%1/4
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
75%3/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
0.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
2.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
25%1/4
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%2/4
0%0/4
BTTS25%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
50%2/4
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.33
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.14
1.10
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38