Championship·
Regular Season - 8·10/01/2025·14:45
Millwall
Millwall
DWDDL
0-4
Finished
HT0-1
Coventry
Coventry
WDDDL
📍 The Den, London
Last 10Championship
Millwall10matchesCoventry10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
67%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1509
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1500
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

64%
67%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

69%
1.93
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.88

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.80
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.70
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

50%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
30%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.20
80%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
70%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
30%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
0%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
10%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
13.10
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.22
9/10
3.70
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.67
9/10
2.40
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.67
9/10
65%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

63%
9/10
30%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.23
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.69
1.04
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.06
0.19
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.63
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.08
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.60
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.78
9/10
3.30
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.22
9/10
9.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

12.22
9/10
66%
Box Shot %70%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

73%
9/10
24%
On-Target %28%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
9/10
7%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%
9/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
9/10
73%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
9/10
371.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

433.44
9/10
-0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%3/3
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered75%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
10%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
0%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

19%
30%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
20%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
0%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
40%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

75%6/8
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

25%2/8
100%5/5
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%4/6
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

20'
46'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'45%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

40%4/10
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%2/3
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%1/3
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
100%10/10
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%19/21
0%0/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%2/21
0%0/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/21
10%1/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/12
0%0/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%1/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.20
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.33
9/10
5.70
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.33
9/10
48%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

59%
9/10
-0.90
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.85
80%8/10
Match Corners > 8.579%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%7/9
9/10
70%7/10
Match Corners > 9.574%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

78%7/9
9/10
50%5/10
Match Corners > 10.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

56%5/9
9/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.30
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.11
9/10
0%0/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/9
9/10
14.40
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.11
9/10
63%5/8
Match Cards > 3.569%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

75%6/8
8/108/10
50%4/8
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%4/8
8/108/10
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · Coventry on the road
44
1.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.25
50%2/4
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%1/4
50%2/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
0.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.75
25%1/4
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
25%1/4
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
50%2/4
Over 2.563%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
1.34
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.53
0.78
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.44