League Two·
Regular Season - 44·04/18/2026·10:00
Notts County
Notts County
LWLWL
1-2
Finished
HT1-1
Barnet
Barnet
WWDWW
📍 Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Season statsLeague Two
County43matchesBarnet43matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
51%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

73%
1447
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1464
57%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
44%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

80%
3.62
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.73

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4343
1.77
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.56
53%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

42%
16%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

28%
28%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

35%
19%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

21%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4343
1.65
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
81%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

79%
77%
Over 1.576%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
58%
Over 2.551%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%
30%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
56%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%
28%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

16%
30%
Scored Both Halves28%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

26%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4343
1.14
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.14
10.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.84
3.30
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.40
2.12
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.21
64%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

65%
28%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

35%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4343
1.23
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.55
1.62
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.44
-0.39
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.11
0.50
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.14
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4343
11.33
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.84
4.35
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.47
7.58
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.21
67%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

67%
38%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
15%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4343
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
76%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

67%
438.63
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

383.74
0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4343
30%13/43
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%13/43
51%22/43
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

49%21/43
19%8/43
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%9/43
42%18/43
HT/FT Same Outcome48%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

53%23/43
85%11/13
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

62%8/13
50%4/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered36%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

22%2/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 43/4343/434343
10%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
16%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
12%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
16%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
16%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
28%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 43/4343/434343
45%19/42
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

59%23/39
55%23/42
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

41%16/39
79%15/19
Win when Scoring First70%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

61%14/23
35%8/23
Win when Conceding First30%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%4/16
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

37'
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 43/4343/434343
42%18/43
Scored after 75'37%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%14/43
19%8/43
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%8/43
84%16/19
Lead Saved after 75'81%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

77%10/13
16%3/19
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

23%3/13
0%0/43
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/43

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 43/4343/434343
91%61/67
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%54/63
6%4/67
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%6/63
3%2/67
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%3/63
4%2/53
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

9%4/46
11%6/53
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/46

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4343
4.91
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.84
4.42
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.28
53%
Corner Share60%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

68%
1.09
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

3.13
53%23/43
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%29/43
49%21/43
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

53%23/43
35%15/43
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

35%15/43

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 43/4343/434343
2.19
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.58
12%5/43
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

12%5/43
11.16
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.19
79%30/38
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

72%23/32
38/4332/43
66%25/38
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

63%20/32
38/4332/43
65%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCounty at home · Barnet on the road
2121
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.62
62%13/21
Win Rate52%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%9/21
24%5/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

24%5/21
2.05
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
1.05
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.05
33%7/21
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%8/21
57%12/21
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

48%10/21
62%13/21
Over 2.548%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%7/21
1.67
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.23
1.05
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.29