League Two·
Regular Season - 44·04/18/2026·11:30 AM
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WLLDW
1-3
Finished
HT0-2
Walsall
Walsall
LLDDW
📍 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Season statsLeague Two
Barrow43matchesWalsall43matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
44%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

36%
1339
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1435
40%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

42%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

29%
3.25
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.85

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4343
0.84
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.44
21%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
21%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
58%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

35%
16%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%
37%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

33%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4343
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.21
63%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

67%
70%
Over 1.569%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
60%
Over 2.553%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%
33%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
56%
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

51%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

23%
19%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

23%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4343
1.63
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.16
13.72
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.16
4.86
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.67
3.23
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.48
42/43
67%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

66%
16%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4343
1.25
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.25
1.70
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.56
-0.45
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.32
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.19
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4343
10.26
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.86
3.09
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.65
7.07
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.49
69%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
30%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
10%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4343
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

41%
67%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

62%
331.28
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

278.77
-0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4343
16%7/43
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

35%15/43
49%21/43
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

37%16/43
35%15/43
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

28%12/43
53%23/43
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%24/43
71%5/7
Led at HT → Won72%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

73%11/15
20%3/15
Trailed at HT → Recovered31%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

42%5/12

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 43/4343/434343
13%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

9%
11%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
24%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
13%
46-60'11%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

9%
16%
61-75'21%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

26%
22%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 43/4343/434343
33%13/39
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

51%20/39
67%26/39
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

49%19/39
54%7/13
Win when Scoring First59%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

65%13/20
8%2/26
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

21%4/19
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 43/4343/434343
21%9/43
Scored after 75'21%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%9/43
42%18/43
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

21%9/43
64%7/11
Lead Saved after 75'76%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

88%14/16
36%4/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

13%2/16
0%0/43
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/43

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 43/4343/434343
91%41/45
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

98%52/53
2%1/45
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/53
7%3/45
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/53
3%2/68
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/49
1%1/68
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/49

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4343
4.16
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.49
5.63
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.28
43%
Corner Share44%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

46%
-1.62
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.16
63%27/43
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

65%28/43
58%25/43
Match Corners > 9.557%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%24/43
40%17/43
Match Corners > 10.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%14/43

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 43/4343/434343
1.91
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.70
12%5/43
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%3/43
10.77
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.12
65%22/34
Match Cards > 3.564%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

64%23/36
34/4336/43
41%14/34
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

53%19/36
34/4336/43
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBarrow at home · Walsall on the road
2121
0.90
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.57
24%5/21
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%9/21
57%12/21
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%6/21
0.76
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.05
19%4/21
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%5/21
38%8/21
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%11/21
43%9/21
Over 2.543%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%9/21
0.98
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.51
1.53
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.22