League Two·
Regular Season - 42·04/06/2026·10:00
Tranmere
Tranmere
LLLDL
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Colchester
Colchester
LDLLD
📍 Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Season statsLeague Two
Tranmere40matchesColchester40matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
21%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

40%
1306
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1438
25%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
16%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

33%
2.17
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.05

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
4040
0.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.35
23%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

35%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
55%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

35%
20%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%
28%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

33%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
4040
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
73%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

68%
83%
Over 1.576%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
55%
Over 2.544%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%
38%
Over 3.529%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
57%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%
8%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
18%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

18%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
4040
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.13
13.97
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.10
4.70
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.45
2.92
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.20
62%
Save %63%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

64%
20%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
4040
0.79
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.17
1.63
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.74
-0.84
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.57
-0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.13
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
4040
11.60
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.90
3.55
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.98
7.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.10
60%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
31%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
4040
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
65%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

73%
332.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

402.25
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
4040
30%12/40
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

23%9/40
38%15/40
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

53%21/40
33%13/40
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%10/40
48%19/40
HT/FT Same Outcome51%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

55%22/40
50%6/12
Led at HT → Won64%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

78%7/9
23%3/13
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

30%3/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 40/4040/404040
15%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

24%
13%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

9%
17%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
13%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
17%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
27%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 40/4040/404040
47%18/38
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

49%18/37
53%20/38
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

51%19/37
44%8/18
Win when Scoring First56%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%12/18
5%1/20
Win when Conceding First8%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

11%2/19
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

40'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 40/4040/404040
33%13/40
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

23%9/40
45%18/40
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%10/40
54%7/13
Lead Saved after 75'66%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

79%11/14
46%6/13
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

21%3/14
0%0/40
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/40

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 40/4040/404040
90%43/48
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

87%47/54
6%3/48
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%5/54
4%2/48
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%2/54
6%4/70
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

2%1/43
3%2/70
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/43

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
4040
4.08
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.42
6.15
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.38
40%
Corner Share45%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
-2.20
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.55
65%26/40
Match Corners > 8.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

57%23/40
57%23/40
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

33%13/40
38%15/40
Match Corners > 10.533%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

28%11/40

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 40/4040/404040
2.08
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.90
3%1/40
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

3%1/40
12.38
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.03
70%23/33
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

82%28/34
33/4034/40
52%17/33
Match Cards > 4.552%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

53%18/34
33/4034/40
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeTranmere at home · Colchester on the road
2020
0.85
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.20
20%4/20
Win Rate25%

Share of sampled matches won.

30%6/20
55%11/20
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%8/20
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.10
1.65
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
20%4/20
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%4/20
50%10/20
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%10/20
45%9/20
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%6/20
0.85
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.18
1.68
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.79