League Two·
Regular Season - 39·03/21/2026·11:00
Grimsby
Grimsby
WLDWW
5-0
Finished
HT2-0
Barrow
Barrow
LDLDL
📍 Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Season statsLeague Two
Grimsby37matchesBarrow37matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
55%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

30%
1449
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1339
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

31%
55%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

28%
1.86
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.44

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3737
1.59
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.78
43%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

19%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

22%
27%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

59%
38%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%
22%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

35%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3737
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.97
78%
Scored > 0.572%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

65%
62%
Over 1.566%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
41%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

59%
27%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
46%
BTTS51%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%
11%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
11%
Scored Both Halves15%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

19%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3737
1.08
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.57
10.05
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.68
3.19
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.86
2.05
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.32
64%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
38%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

16%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3737
1.74
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.99
1.01
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.58
0.73
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.58
-0.57
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.08
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3737
13.73
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.46
4.68
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.19
9.59
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.27
70%
Box Shot %70%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

70%
34%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

30%
10%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3737
57%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
70%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

68%
386.38
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

341.59
0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3737
27%10/37
Leading at HT23%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

19%7/37
51%19/37
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

46%17/37
22%8/37
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

35%13/37
51%19/37
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

57%21/37
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

71%5/7
38%3/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered26%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

15%2/13

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 37/3737/373737
13%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
12%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
23%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

29%
13%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
19%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
19%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 37/3737/373737
57%20/35
Scored First46%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

35%12/34
43%15/35
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

65%22/34
70%14/20
Win when Scoring First64%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

58%7/12
13%2/15
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/22
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 37/3737/373737
22%8/37
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%8/37
16%6/37
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

41%15/37
92%11/12
Lead Saved after 75'76%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

60%6/10
8%1/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

40%4/10
0%0/37
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/37

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 37/3737/373737
87%45/52
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%34/38
10%5/52
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/38
4%2/52
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

8%3/38
5%2/39
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%2/56
3%1/39
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/56

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3737
6.27
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.27
4.32
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.51
59%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

44%
1.96
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.71
70%26/37
Match Corners > 8.566%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

62%23/37
51%19/37
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

57%21/37
46%17/37
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

41%15/37

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 37/3737/373737
1.57
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.89
5%2/37
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%5/37
11.19
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.78
93%28/30
Match Cards > 3.578%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

62%18/29
30/3729/37
57%17/30
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

41%12/29
30/3729/37
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeGrimsby at home · Barrow on the road
1919
1.68
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.84
47%9/19
Win Rate34%

Share of sampled matches won.

21%4/19
26%5/19
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

58%11/19
1.47
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.32
0.89
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.74
37%7/19
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

11%2/19
47%9/19
BTTS63%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

79%15/19
42%8/19
Over 2.561%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

79%15/19
2.12
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.56
0.91
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.76