League Two·
Regular Season - 37·03/14/2026·11:00
Oldham
Oldham
WDWWW
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Grimsby
Grimsby
DWWLD
📍 Boundary Park, Oldham
Season statsLeague Two
Oldham34matchesGrimsby35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
72%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

61%
1371
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1449
59%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
84%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

63%
2.37
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.44

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3435
1.44
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.60
35%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

43%
38%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

31%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
41%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%
35%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3435
1.15
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.43
65%
Scored > 0.572%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
62%
Over 1.564%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

66%
41%
Over 2.542%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%
18%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
41%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

49%
12%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
26%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

11%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3435
0.91
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.11
11.59
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.23
3.56
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.31
2.62
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.14
74%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

65%
41%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3435
1.51
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.80
1.02
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.05
0.49
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.74
-0.13
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.51
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3435
13.21
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.77
4.59
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.77
9.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.51
68%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
35%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3435
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
64%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
315.94
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

387.66
-0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3435
24%8/34
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%10/35
44%15/34
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

49%17/35
32%11/34
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

23%8/35
71%24/34
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

54%19/35
100%8/8
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%8/10
36%4/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered37%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

38%3/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 34/3435/353435
12%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
10%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
22%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

24%
22%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
17%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
17%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 34/3435/353435
50%14/28
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

58%19/33
50%14/28
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

42%14/33
79%11/14
Win when Scoring First73%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

68%13/19
7%1/14
Win when Conceding First11%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%2/14
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

40'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 34/3435/353435
24%8/34
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%7/35
15%5/34
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

14%5/35
83%10/12
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

92%11/12
17%2/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

8%1/12
0%0/34
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 34/3435/353435
88%36/41
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%44/51
7%3/41
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%5/51
5%2/41
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%2/51
14%4/29
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%2/38
0%0/29
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/38

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3435
5.35
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.23
4.82
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.46
53%
Corner Share55%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
0.44
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.36
71%24/34
Match Corners > 8.571%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

71%25/35
65%22/34
Match Corners > 9.558%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

51%18/35
50%17/34
Match Corners > 10.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

46%16/35

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 34/3435/353435
1.97
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.57
9%3/34
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%2/35
13.15
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.34
80%24/30
Match Cards > 3.586%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

93%26/28
30/3428/35
40%12/30
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%16/28
30/3428/35
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeOldham at home · Grimsby on the road
1717
1.47
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.59
35%6/17
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

41%7/17
24%4/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

24%4/17
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.35
0.88
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.29
35%6/17
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%7/17
47%8/17
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

47%8/17
35%6/17
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

41%7/17
1.64
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.48
1.18
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38