League Two·
Regular Season - 21·12/20/2025·07:30
Notts County
Notts County
WWWLD
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Walsall
Walsall
DWWWW
📍 Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Season statsLeague Two
County20matchesWalsall20matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in League Two.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
72%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

74%
1431
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1544
64%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

71%
80%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

77%
2.81
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.23

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2020
1.85
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.95
55%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

15%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%
30%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%
5%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2020
1.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
95%
Scored > 0.588%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
80%
Over 1.573%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

65%
60%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
35%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
65%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%
25%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

35%
25%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2020
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.95
10.20
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.90
3.35
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.20
2.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.20
67%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

69%
30%
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2020
1.91
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.86
1.58
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.90
0.33
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.96
-0.35
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.33
0.18
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2020
10.45
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.25
4.35
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.35
6.80
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.80
65%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
42%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
17%
Shot Conversion15%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2020
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

39%
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

61%
429.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

258.80
0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.21

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2020
25%5/20
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

45%9/20
55%11/20
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%6/20
20%4/20
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%5/20
40%8/20
HT/FT Same Outcome48%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

55%11/20
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won84%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

89%8/9
50%2/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered55%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

60%3/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 20/2020/202020
12%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
15%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
9%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
15%
46-60'12%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
21%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
27%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

26%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 20/2020/202020
50%10/20
Scored First53%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

55%11/20
50%10/20
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

45%9/20
80%8/10
Win when Scoring First81%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

82%9/11
30%3/10
Win when Conceding First32%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%3/9
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 20/2020/202020
45%9/20
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

35%7/20
25%5/20
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

15%3/20
78%7/9
Lead Saved after 75'89%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%10/10
22%2/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/10
0%0/20
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/20

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 20/2020/202020
94%31/33
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

97%30/31
6%2/33
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/31
0%0/33
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/31
8%2/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%1/18
8%2/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/18

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2020
3.85
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.90
5.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.30
44%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
-0.55
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.33
45%9/20
Match Corners > 8.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

55%11/20
40%8/20
Match Corners > 9.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%8/20
35%7/20
Match Corners > 10.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

30%6/20

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 20/2020/202020
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.65
5%1/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%2/20
11.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.05
94%16/17
Match Cards > 3.580%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%12/18
17/2018/20
59%10/17
Match Cards > 4.554%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%9/18
17/2018/20
65%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCounty at home · Walsall on the road
1010
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
60%6/10
Win Rate60%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%6/10
20%2/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%2/10
2.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
30%3/10
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%3/10
2.19
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.00
1.61
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.76