Championship·
Regular Season - 27·02/28/2026·10:00
Ross County
Ross County
DLWLW
2-0
Finished
HT2-0
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
DDDLD
📍 Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
Season statsChampionship
County25matchesRovers26matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
50%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

57%
1399
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1443
47%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

54%
53%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

60%
1.08
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.61

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2526
0.92
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.15
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

27%
32%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

35%
48%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%
28%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

46%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2526
0.92
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.08
60%
Scored > 0.557%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

54%
68%
Over 1.567%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

65%
48%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

35%
24%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

15%
44%
BTTS37%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

31%
4%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

4%
16%
Scored Both Halves14%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

12%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2526
1.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
28%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2526
0.90
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.36
1.56
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.14
-0.65
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.22
-0.11
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.21
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2526
-0.15
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2526
20%5/25
Leading at HT20%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

19%5/26
44%11/25
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%13/26
36%9/25
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

31%8/26
56%14/25
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

69%18/26
40%2/5
Led at HT → Won60%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
11%1/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered12%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

13%1/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 25/2526/262526
17%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
13%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
13%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
21%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
13%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
25%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 25/2526/262526
32%7/22
Scored First37%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

42%8/19
68%15/22
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

58%11/19
71%5/7
Win when Scoring First79%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

88%7/8
0%0/15
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/11
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 25/2526/262526
24%6/25
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

19%5/26
32%8/25
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

31%8/26
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

88%7/8
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

13%1/8
0%0/25
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/26

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 25/2526/262526
83%20/24
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%25/28
13%3/24
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%3/28
4%1/24
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/28
5%2/38
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%2/26
0%0/38
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/26

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2526
-3.13
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 25/2526/262526
95%19/20
Match Cards > 3.592%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%17/19
20/2519/26
80%16/20
Match Cards > 4.569%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

58%11/19
20/2519/26
74%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

78%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCounty at home · Rovers on the road
1313
0.85
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.92
23%3/13
Win Rate19%

Share of sampled matches won.

15%2/13
62%8/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%5/13
1.08
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.46
1.62
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.85
23%3/13
Clean Sheet42%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

62%8/13
46%6/13
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

23%3/13
54%7/13
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

23%3/13
1.20
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.72
1.75
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.93