Premiership·
1st Phase - 32·04/05/2026·11:30
Dundee
Dundee
LDWDW
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Celtic
Celtic
LWDWD
📍 Dens Park, Dundee
Season statsPremiership
Dundee31matchesCeltic31matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premiership.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
53%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

61%
1461
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1657
51%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

60%
54%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
3.26
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.59

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3131
1.03
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.97
26%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

61%
26%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
48%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
16%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

39%
45%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

16%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3131
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.81
55%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

84%
68%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

81%
52%
Over 2.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

65%
32%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

39%
45%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

29%
16%
Scored Both Halves26%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

35%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3131
1.58
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
15.65
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.39
5.45
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.45
3.84
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.45
70%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
16%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

39%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3131
1.25
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.94
1.56
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.11
-0.32
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.83
-0.06
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.09
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3131
10.06
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.94
3.06
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.61
5.77
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

11.58
57%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
30%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
10%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3131
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

67%
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

87%
348.90
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

617.84
-0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.27

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3131
29%9/31
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

45%14/31
32%10/31
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

39%12/31
39%12/31
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

16%5/31
74%23/31
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

52%16/31
78%7/9
Led at HT → Won78%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

79%11/14
17%2/12
Trailed at HT → Recovered28%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%2/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 31/3131/313131
13%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
10%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
27%
31-45'22%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
17%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
13%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
20%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 31/3131/313131
31%9/29
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

69%20/29
69%20/29
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

31%9/29
56%5/9
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%16/20
15%3/20
Win when Conceding First24%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%3/9
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

24'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 31/3131/313131
19%6/31
Scored after 75'29%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

39%12/31
45%14/31
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%3/31
56%5/9
Lead Saved after 75'74%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

93%13/14
44%4/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

7%1/14
0%0/31
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/31

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 31/3131/313131
83%25/30
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%51/58
10%3/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%5/58
7%2/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%2/58
10%5/50
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

16%5/32
6%3/50
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/32

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3131
3.87
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.77
5.94
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.87
39%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

64%
-0.56
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.31
68%21/31
Match Corners > 8.569%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

71%22/31
68%21/31
Match Corners > 9.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

61%19/31
48%15/31
Match Corners > 10.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

58%18/31

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 31/3131/313131
1.48
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.81
6%2/31
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%2/31
9.35
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.90
72%18/25
Match Cards > 3.574%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

77%20/26
25/3126/31
40%10/25
Match Cards > 4.541%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

42%11/26
25/3126/31
76%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

77%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDundee at home · Celtic on the road
1516
1.47
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.69
40%6/15
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%8/16
33%5/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%5/16
1.53
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.44
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.38
13%2/15
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%4/16
67%10/15
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%9/16
67%10/15
Over 2.561%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%9/16
1.33
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.49
1.64
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.50