Premiership·
1st Phase - 28·02/22/2026·10:00
Celtic
Celtic
LWWDW
1-2
Finished
HT1-1
Hibernian
Hibernian
WLWDL
📍 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Season statsPremiership
Celtic26matchesHibernian27matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premiership.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1657
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1624
63%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
61%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

55%
3.74
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.54

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2627
2.08
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.56
65%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

41%
12%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
23%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
46%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
15%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2627
1.85
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.59
85%
Scored > 0.579%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
77%
Over 1.577%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

78%
62%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

52%
38%
Over 3.536%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

33%
46%
BTTS49%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

19%
35%
Scored Both Halves38%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

41%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2627
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.15
8.92
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.33
3.35
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.93
2.42
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.81
72%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

72%
46%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2627
2.05
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.52
1.20
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.10
0.85
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.42
-0.16
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.09
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2627
17.04
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.41
5.81
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.07
11.69
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.63
69%
Box Shot %70%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
34%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

38%
11%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2627
68%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
629.65
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

401.59
0.22
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2627
54%14/26
Leading at HT49%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%12/27
31%8/26
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%9/27
15%4/26
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%6/27
62%16/26
HT/FT Same Outcome70%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

78%21/27
79%11/14
Led at HT → Won81%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%10/12
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered21%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 26/2627/272627
18%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
14%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
16%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
10%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
18%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
24%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 26/2627/272627
79%19/24
Scored First68%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%14/25
21%5/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%11/25
79%15/19
Win when Scoring First79%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

79%11/14
40%2/5
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/11
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

39'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 26/2627/272627
38%10/26
Scored after 75'36%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%9/27
8%2/26
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%7/27
92%11/12
Lead Saved after 75'91%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

91%10/11
8%1/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

9%1/11
0%0/26
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/27

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 26/2627/272627
88%44/50
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%36/42
8%4/50
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%5/42
4%2/50
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/42
17%4/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%2/32
0%0/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%2/32

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2627
6.85
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.30
3.73
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.30
65%
Corner Share57%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
1.71
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.19
69%18/26
Match Corners > 8.574%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%21/27
58%15/26
Match Corners > 9.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

63%17/27
54%14/26
Match Corners > 10.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

48%13/27

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 26/2627/272627
1.73
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.67
4%1/26
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

4%1/27
12.31
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.70
76%16/21
Match Cards > 3.572%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

68%15/22
21/2622/27
43%9/21
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

55%12/22
21/2622/27
78%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCeltic at home · Hibernian on the road
1313
2.38
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.23
77%10/13
Win Rate54%

Share of sampled matches won.

31%4/13
15%2/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%5/13
2.23
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.23
0.69
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.31
62%8/13
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%2/13
38%5/13
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

54%7/13
69%9/13
Over 2.562%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

54%7/13
2.27
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.35
0.96
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.45