Premiership·
1st Phase - 24·02/01/2026·10:00
Celtic
Celtic
WDDWW
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
Falkirk
Falkirk
WDLWW
📍 Celtic Park, Glasgow
Season statsPremiership
Celtic23matchesFalkirk23matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premiership.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
73%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

57%
1679
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1589
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

54%
80%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
3.82
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.92

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2323
1.96
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.43
61%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

39%
13%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

35%
48%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
17%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

35%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2323
1.78
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.17
83%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

65%
74%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
61%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

52%
39%
Over 3.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
43%
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%
22%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
30%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

13%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2323
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.26
8.57
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.27
22/23
3.22
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.50
22/23
2.30
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.32
22/23
72%
Save %73%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
22/23
48%
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2323
1.84
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.47
1.28
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.30
0.57
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.17
0.10
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.13
0.13
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2323
16.52
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.05
22/23
5.39
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.95
22/23
11.35
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.55
22/23
69%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

63%
22/23
33%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
22/23
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%
22/23

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2323
68%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

51%
22/23
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
22/23
637.61
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

402.23
22/23
0.21
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2323
52%12/23
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

17%4/23
35%8/23
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%7/23
13%3/23
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

52%12/23
61%14/23
HT/FT Same Outcome57%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

52%12/23
75%9/12
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered21%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

42%5/12

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 23/2323/232323
19%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
16%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
16%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
9%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
16%
61-75'23%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

29%
23%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

17%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 23/2323/232323
81%17/21
Scored First60%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

38%8/21
19%4/21
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

62%13/21
76%13/17
Win when Scoring First82%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

88%7/8
25%1/4
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

15%2/13
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 23/2323/232323
35%8/23
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%5/23
9%2/23
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%6/23
91%10/11
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

86%6/7
9%1/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

14%1/7
0%0/23
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/23

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 23/2323/232323
86%37/43
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%23/24
9%4/43
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/24
5%2/43
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/24
14%3/21
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%2/32
0%0/21
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%3/32

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2323
6.61
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.95
22/23
3.65
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.55
22/23
64%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
22/23
1.13
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.78
65%15/23
Match Corners > 8.569%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

73%16/22
22/23
52%12/23
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%11/22
22/23
48%11/23
Match Corners > 10.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

27%6/22
22/23

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 23/2323/232323
1.74
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.09
22/23
4%1/23
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/22
22/23
12.74
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.59
22/23
67%12/18
Match Cards > 3.573%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

80%16/20
18/2320/23
39%7/18
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%10/20
18/2320/23
79%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCeltic at home · Falkirk on the road
1111
2.27
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.45
73%8/11
Win Rate59%

Share of sampled matches won.

45%5/11
18%2/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

45%5/11
2.27
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.91
0.73
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.36
64%7/11
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%5/11
36%4/11
BTTS27%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

18%2/11
73%8/11
Over 2.564%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

55%6/11
2.28
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.31
0.87
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.58