Premiership·
1st Phase - 17·01/14/2026·14:45
Falkirk
Falkirk
WWLWL
0-1
Finished
HT0-1
Celtic
Celtic
WLLWW
📍 Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Season statsPremiership
Falkirk21matchesCeltic21matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premiership.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
56%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1575
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1623
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

46%
59%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

42%
1.50
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.54

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2121
1.43
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.95
38%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

62%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
33%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
33%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

48%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2121
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.81
67%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
71%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

76%
52%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

62%
24%
Over 3.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

38%
43%
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

24%
10%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2121
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
12.60
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

8.10
20/21
4.65
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.86
20/21
3.45
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.95
20/21
74%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
20/21
33%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

48%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2121
1.43
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.79
1.35
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.42
0.07
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.37
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.02
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2121
11.85
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

17.29
20/21
3.80
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.67
20/21
7.30
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

11.76
20/21
62%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
20/21
32%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
20/21
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
20/21

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2121
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

70%
20/21
76%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

88%
20/21
400.35
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

655.90
20/21
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.33

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2121
14%3/21
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

48%10/21
33%7/21
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%8/21
52%11/21
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

14%3/21
48%10/21
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

62%13/21
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%8/10
45%5/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered23%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 21/2121/212121
10%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

18%
10%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
10%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

15%
24%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
33%
61-75'24%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

15%
14%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 21/2121/212121
37%7/19
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

79%15/19
63%12/19
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

21%4/19
86%6/7
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%12/15
17%2/12
Win when Conceding First21%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

35'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

20'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 21/2121/212121
19%4/21
Scored after 75'29%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%8/21
24%5/21
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

5%1/21
83%5/6
Lead Saved after 75'92%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%9/9
17%1/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/9
0%0/21
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/21

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 21/2121/212121
95%20/21
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%34/40
5%1/21
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%4/40
0%0/21
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%2/40
7%2/29
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

16%3/19
7%2/29
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/19

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2121
4.95
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.95
20/21
4.60
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.76
20/21
52%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

65%
20/21
0.71
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.39
75%15/20
Match Corners > 8.573%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

71%15/21
20/21
50%10/20
Match Corners > 9.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

57%12/21
20/21
25%5/20
Match Corners > 10.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

52%11/21
20/21

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 21/2121/212121
2.20
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.57
20/21
0%0/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/21
20/21
12.75
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.43
20/21
72%13/18
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%12/17
18/2117/21
50%9/18
Match Cards > 4.546%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

41%7/17
18/2117/21
65%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

76%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFalkirk at home · Celtic on the road
1010
1.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.60
30%3/10
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%5/10
20%2/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%4/10
1.30
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.30
20%2/10
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%5/10
2.14
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.53
1.23
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.69