Jupiler Pro League·
Regular Season - 4·08/17/2025·07:30
Dender
Dender
LDDLW
0-2
Finished
HT0-0
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
DLWWL
📍 DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Last 10Jupiler Pro League
Dender10matchesAnderlecht10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
44%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1471
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1594
44%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

51%
44%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

62%
2.72
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.25

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.30
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.70
70%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
80%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
60%
Over 2.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
50%
Over 3.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
60%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
30%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
12.38
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.14
8/107/10
3.75
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.14
8/107/10
2.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.43
8/107/10
60%
Save %59%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

59%
8/107/10
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.23
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.63
1.77
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.30
-0.54
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.34
0.04
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.00
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
10.38
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.14
8/107/10
3.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.57
8/107/10
7.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.86
8/107/10
72%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

65%
8/107/10
34%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
8/107/10
13%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%
8/107/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

54%
8/107/10
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
8/107/10
439.75
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

442.14
8/107/10
-0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
80%8/10
HT/FT Same Outcome85%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/1010/101010
15%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
38%
16-30'28%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
15%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
0%
46-60'9%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
15%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

24%
15%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/1010/101010
43%3/7
Scored First51%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
57%4/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%4/10
33%1/3
Win when Scoring First50%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%4/6
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
9'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

21'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/1010/101010
22%2/9
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%3/10
22%2/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
50%1/2
Lead Saved after 75'65%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
50%1/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
11%1/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/1010/101010
85%11/13
Open-Play Share81%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

76%13/17
15%2/13
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

24%4/17
0%0/13
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/17
20%3/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

19%3/16
0%0/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%1/16

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
3.50
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.00
8/107/10
4.88
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.14
8/107/10
42%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

55%
8/107/10
-1.08
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.45
38%3/8
Match Corners > 8.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

57%4/7
8/107/10
25%2/8
Match Corners > 9.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

57%4/7
8/107/10
25%2/8
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

43%3/7
8/107/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/1010/101010
1.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.44
8/109/10
13%1/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%1/9
8/109/10
8.88
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.89
8/109/10
80%4/5
Match Cards > 3.584%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%8/9
5/109/10
60%3/5
Match Cards > 4.569%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

78%7/9
5/109/10
55%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDender at home · Anderlecht on the road
34
1.67
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
33%1/3
Win Rate29%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%1/4
0%0/3
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%2/4
2.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
67%2/3
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
33%1/3
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
67%2/3
Over 2.558%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.32
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.10
1.42
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.44