Eerste Divisie·
Regular Season - 8·09/26/2025·14:00
Cambuur
Cambuur
WWDWW
5-3
Finished
HT3-1
Jong PSV
Jong PSV
WLWWW
📍 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Last 10Eerste Divisie
Cambuur10matchesPSV10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
71%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

70%
1473
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1399
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

64%
85%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

76%
2.75
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.87

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.20
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.30
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.90
70%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
50%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
40%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
40%
Over 3.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
40%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

40%
20%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
11.57
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

16.00
7/109/10
4.14
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.00
7/109/10
3.43
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.00
7/109/10
83%
Save %79%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
7/109/10
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.15
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.13
1.27
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.94
0.88
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.19
-0.37
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.41
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.56
7/109/10
5.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6.00
7/109/10
8.43
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.11
7/109/10
65%
Box Shot %59%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

52%
7/109/10
38%
On-Target %41%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

44%
7/109/10
13%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

15%
7/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
57%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
7/109/10
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
7/109/10
467.29
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

419.22
7/109/10
0.13
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT55%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
10%1/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

20%2/10
40%4/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
80%8/10
HT/FT Same Outcome80%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

80%8/10
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%6/6
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered38%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 7/109/101010
17%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
42%
16-30'23%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
8%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

26%
17%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
8%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

26%
8%
76-90+'12%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 7/109/101010
71%5/7
Scored First69%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

67%6/9
29%2/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

33%3/9
80%4/5
Win when Scoring First90%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%6/6
50%1/2
Win when Conceding First42%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%1/3
17'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

22'
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 7/109/101010
14%1/7
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%3/9
14%1/7
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

11%1/9
80%4/5
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%7/7
20%1/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/7
0%0/7
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 7/109/101010
92%11/12
Open-Play Share80%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

68%13/19
0%0/12
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

32%6/19
8%1/12
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/19
0%0/6
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

9%1/11
17%1/6
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/11

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.57
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.33
7/109/10
3.86
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.89
7/109/10
59%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

44%
7/109/10
2.10
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.38
71%5/7
Match Corners > 8.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%7/9
7/109/10
71%5/7
Match Corners > 9.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

78%7/9
7/109/10
43%3/7
Match Corners > 10.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

78%7/9
7/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 7/109/101010
1.57
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.78
7/109/10
14%1/7
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/9
7/109/10
10.29
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.56
7/109/10
80%4/5
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%5/7
5/107/10
60%3/5
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

29%2/7
5/107/10
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

72%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCambuur at home · PSV on the road
54
1.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.25
40%2/5
Win Rate57%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
40%2/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
20%1/5
Clean Sheet23%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
40%2/5
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
40%2/5
Over 2.557%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
2.22
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.77
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.58