Eredivisie·
Regular Season - 19·01/18/2026·08:30
Heracles
Heracles
DLLWL
0-2
Finished
HT0-1
Twente
Twente
WDDWW
📍 Asito Stadium, Almelo
Season statsEredivisie
Heracles18matchesTwente18matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Eredivisie.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
40%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1512
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1679
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

70%
30%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
3.75
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.44

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1818
0.78
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.44
22%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

33%
11%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

44%
67%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

22%
6%
Clean Sheet11%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%
39%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

22%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1818
1.44
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
61%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

78%
100%
Over 1.589%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

78%
78%
Over 2.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

39%
39%
Over 3.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

28%
56%
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%
17%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

22%
22%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

28%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1818
2.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.22
17.61
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.61
6.78
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.28
4.06
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.00
60%
Save %60%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

61%
6%
Clean Sheet11%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1818
1.76
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.24
1.83
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.12
-0.07
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.11
0.02
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.38
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1818
11.17
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

18.83
4.22
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6.39
7.44
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

12.11
67%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
38%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
13%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1818
44%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
77%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
342.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

472.94
-0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1818
22%4/18
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

28%5/18
22%4/18
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%9/18
56%10/18
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%4/18
56%10/18
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

61%11/18
50%2/4
Led at HT → Won55%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

60%3/5
30%3/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered40%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 18/1818/181818
12%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
12%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
19%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

7%
27%
46-60'26%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
15%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

14%
15%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

32%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 18/1818/181818
28%5/18
Scored First46%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

65%11/17
72%13/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

35%6/17
40%2/5
Win when Scoring First43%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

45%5/11
15%2/13
Win when Conceding First16%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%1/6
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
25'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

43'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 18/1818/181818
22%4/18
Scored after 75'36%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

50%9/18
61%11/18
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

28%5/18
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
0%0/18
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/18

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 18/1818/181818
96%25/26
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%21/28
4%1/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%5/28
0%0/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%2/28
2%1/46
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%1/20
0%0/46
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1818
4.50
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.33
6.56
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.83
41%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
-1.24
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.23
78%14/18
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%9/18
61%11/18
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

33%6/18
44%8/18
Match Corners > 10.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

28%5/18

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 18/1818/181818
2.06
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.72
11%2/18
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%2/18
12.44
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.06
69%11/16
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

73%11/15
16/1815/18
44%7/16
Match Cards > 4.539%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

33%5/15
16/1815/18
53%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

77%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeHeracles at home · Twente on the road
89
1.25
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.22
38%3/8
Win Rate30%

Share of sampled matches won.

22%2/9
50%4/8
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

22%2/9
2.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.56
2.63
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.22
13%1/8
Clean Sheet6%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/9
63%5/8
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

78%7/9
88%7/8
Over 2.560%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%3/9
1.99
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.18
1.47
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38