Eredivisie·
Regular Season - 15·12/05/2025·14:00
Excelsior
Excelsior
WWLDD
0-2
Finished
HT0-0
Groningen
Groningen
LDLDL
📍 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Season statsEredivisie
Excelsior14matchesGroningen14matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Eredivisie.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
56%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

33%
1514
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1520
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

41%
60%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

25%
2.29
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.81

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1414
1.14
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.43
36%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

43%
7%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

14%
57%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%
21%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%
21%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

29%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1414
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.36
79%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

71%
71%
Over 1.579%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

86%
64%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
21%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
57%
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
21%
Scored Both Halves36%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1414
1.71
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
16.79
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.36
6.64
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.93
4.64
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.54
13/14
70%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

60%
21%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1414
1.48
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.67
1.56
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.50
-0.07
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.17
-0.16
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.34
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1414
11.79
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.64
4.14
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6.50
7.29
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.71
62%
Box Shot %59%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

56%
35%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

42%
8%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1414
44%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
76%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
365.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

413.07
-0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1414
36%5/14
Leading at HT32%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%4/14
36%5/14
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%7/14
29%4/14
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%3/14
43%6/14
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%9/14
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered13%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 14/1414/141414
43%
0-15'26%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
7%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

15%
14%
31-45'22%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

30%
7%
46-60'9%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
0%
61-75'5%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
29%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 14/1414/141414
64%9/14
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

36%5/14
36%5/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

64%9/14
56%5/9
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%5/5
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First6%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

11%1/9
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 14/1414/141414
29%4/14
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

36%5/14
29%4/14
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%4/14
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%5/5
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/5
0%0/14
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/14

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 14/1414/141414
86%12/14
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%18/20
14%2/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%1/20
0%0/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/20
8%2/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%1/20
0%0/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1414
4.07
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.43
5.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.64
43%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

54%
0.38
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.85
57%8/14
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

71%10/14
43%6/14
Match Corners > 9.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

57%8/14
36%5/14
Match Corners > 10.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

43%6/14

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 14/1414/141414
1.57
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.86
14%2/14
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%1/14
14.29
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.50
60%6/10
Match Cards > 3.559%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

58%7/12
10/1412/14
50%5/10
Match Cards > 4.546%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

42%5/12
10/1412/14
56%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

74%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeExcelsior at home · Groningen on the road
77
1.29
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.29
43%3/7
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%3/7
57%4/7
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

57%4/7
0.86
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.14
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
43%3/7
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%1/7
43%3/7
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%4/7
43%3/7
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%4/7
1.81
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.36
1.28
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.88