Eredivisie·
Regular Season - 12·11/08/2025·10:30
Excelsior
Excelsior
DDLWL
1-2
Finished
HT1-0
Heracles
Heracles
WWLLL
📍 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Season statsEredivisie
Excelsior11matchesHeracles11matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Eredivisie.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

49%
1534
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1505
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

38%
42%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

60%
2.19
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

4.77

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1111
0.91
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.55
27%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

18%
9%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
64%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

82%
18%
Clean Sheet14%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

9%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

45%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1111
0.91
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.36
73%
Scored > 0.564%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

55%
73%
Over 1.586%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
64%
Over 2.577%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

91%
27%
Over 3.536%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

45%
55%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

45%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

9%
18%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

18%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1111
1.91
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.91
17.09
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

18.82
7.27
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

7.45
5.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.27
69%
Save %63%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

57%
18%
Clean Sheet14%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

9%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1111
1.66
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.58
1.61
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.75
0.05
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.17
-0.34
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.16
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1111
12.73
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.18
4.27
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.64
7.91
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.55
62%
Box Shot %60%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

59%
34%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
7%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1111
45%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

43%
77%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
370.27
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

344.36
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1111
18%2/11
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

36%4/11
45%5/11
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

18%2/11
36%4/11
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

45%5/11
36%4/11
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%7/11
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%2/4
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered13%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 11/1111/111111
50%
0-15'32%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
0%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

20%
10%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

27%
0%
46-60'7%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
0%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
40%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

7%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 11/1111/111111
55%6/11
Scored First45%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

36%4/11
45%5/11
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

64%7/11
50%3/6
Win when Scoring First38%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

25%1/4
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%1/7
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

20'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 11/1111/111111
36%4/11
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

9%1/11
27%3/11
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

73%8/11
50%1/2
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%2/2
50%1/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/2
0%0/11
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/11

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 11/1111/111111
90%9/10
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%14/15
10%1/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/15
0%0/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/15
10%2/21
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/32
0%0/21
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/32

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1111
4.36
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.64
4.45
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.27
49%
Corner Share43%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

37%
2.19
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.90
55%6/11
Match Corners > 8.564%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

73%8/11
36%4/11
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

55%6/11
27%3/11
Match Corners > 10.527%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

27%3/11

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 11/1111/111111
1.45
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.64
18%2/11
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

18%2/11
13.73
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.09
71%5/7
Match Cards > 3.569%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%6/9
7/119/11
57%4/7
Match Cards > 4.551%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

44%4/9
7/119/11
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

52%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeExcelsior at home · Heracles on the road
56
1.20
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.00
40%2/5
Win Rate20%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/6
60%3/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

100%6/6
0.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.33
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.83
40%2/5
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/6
40%2/5
BTTS37%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%2/6
40%2/5
Over 2.562%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

83%5/6
1.97
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.23
1.20
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.77