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Arsenal vs Chelsea | Premier League - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

England

Premier League

Arsenal

01 Mar 2026

16:30 (UTC+0)

Chelsea

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

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Top Mathematical Model Picks

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical match data. For live news & injury updates, check Match Intelligence

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

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Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Goals History

Overall Form

80%

Overall Form

78%

Wins

Draws

Losses

Rankings

Current Season

Premier League

Played

2.18

Points per Match

1.67

Quality

78%

Team Quality

69%

56%

Avg Opponent Quality

54%

Goals Performance

74%

Goals Performance

67%

2.7

Scored Goals

2.2

Conceded Goals

1.7

Goals Difference

(Scored - Conceded)

1.2

3.7

Total Goals

(Scored + Conceded)

3.2

Average Goals per Match

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Arsenal

Date

Teams

Odds

Hype

LTQ

Result

England | Premier League

01/03

16:30

Arsenal

Chelsea

1.57

4.23

5.7

81%

60%

78%

69%

England | Premier League

22/02

16:30

Tottenham

Arsenal

7.09

4.31

1.47

37%

75%

42%

75%

England | Premier League

18/02

20:00

Wolves

Arsenal

11.35

5.58

1.28

47%

89%

47%

77%

England | FA Cup

15/02

16:30

Arsenal

Wigan

1.05

14.64

30.92

80%

12%

77%

42%

England | Premier League

12/02

20:00

Brentford

Arsenal

5.35

3.86

1.66

64%

88%

66%

76%

England | Premier League

07/02

15:00

Arsenal

Sunderland

1.28

5.61

11.4

81%

58%

75%

60%

England | League Cup

03/02

20:00

Arsenal

Chelsea

1.68

4.03

4.76

67%

86%

76%

67%

Wins

Draws

Losses

Easy

Average

Hard

Chelsea

Date

Teams

Odds

Hype

LTQ

Result

England | Premier League

01/03

16:30

Arsenal

Chelsea

1.57

4.23

5.7

81%

60%

78%

69%

England | Premier League

21/02

15:00

Chelsea

Burnley

1.22

6.67

12.51

78%

39%

69%

39%

England | FA Cup

13/02

19:45

Hull City

Chelsea

11.81

6.37

1.21

61%

63%

62%

66%

England | Premier League

10/02

19:30

Chelsea

Leeds

1.53

4.38

6.03

72%

57%

65%

57%

England | Premier League

07/02

15:00

Wolves

Chelsea

5.2

4.07

1.64

37%

72%

38%

63%

England | League Cup

03/02

20:00

Arsenal

Chelsea

1.68

4.03

4.76

67%

86%

76%

67%

England | Premier League

31/01

17:30

Chelsea

West Ham

1.57

4.46

5.34

88%

71%

64%

42%

Wins

Draws

Losses

Easy

Average

Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.92

Expected Goals

Missing Data (2 | 2)

2.37

14.6

Total Shots

13.5

5.5

Shots on Goal

4.8

10.5

Shots Inside Box

8.4

4.1

Shots Outside Box

5.1

56%

Possession

63%

84%

Passes %

90%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Arsenal

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 7.33 per match

High Team Rotation!

Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

Forwards

Viktor Gyökeres

6.2

Midfielders

Martín Zubimendi

7.2

Declan Rice

7.9

Bukayo Saka

Eberechi Eze

Leandro Trossard

6.9

Defenders

Jurriën Timber

7.3

William Saliba

7.3

Gabriel Magalhães

7.5

Piero Hincapié

5.9

Goalkeepers

David Raya

7.7

Injuries/Absence

Key Players

M. Merino

Leg Injury

Others

B. White

Injury

Chelsea

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.33 per match

High Team Rotation!

Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

Forwards

Pedro Neto

6.3

João Pedro

6.2

Cole Palmer

6.2

Midfielders

Moisés Caicedo

7.3

Andrey Santos

6.6

Enzo Fernández

6.9

Defenders

Reece James

7.5

Trevoh Chalobah

7.6

Mamadou Sarr

Jorrel Hato

6.2

Goalkeepers

Robert Sánchez

7.7

Injuries/Absence

Key Players

M. Cucurella

Muscle Injury

W. Fofana

Red Card

Others

L. Colwill

Knee Injury

J. Gittens

Muscle Injury

M. Mudryk

Suspended

D. Essugo

Injury

Player Rotation Legend

Low

Medium

High

Unknown

Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Arsenal vs Chelsea | Premier League - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Portal Pulse

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Goals History

Overall Form

Goals Performance

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Statistics

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Odds Movement

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Portal Pulse

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Form & Performance

Home vs Away Strength

Fatigue Calendar

Total Goals

Total Goals

Head to Head

Head To Head

Total Goals

Total Goals

Head to Head

Head To Head

Form & Performance

Form & Performance

Home vs Away Strength

Fatigue Calendar

Portal Pulse

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Goals History

Overall Form

Goals Performance

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Statistics

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Odds Movement

Portal Pulse

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Form & Performance

Form & Performance

Total Goals

Total Goals

Head to Head

Head to Head