Premier League·
Regular Season - 20·01/03/2026·12:30
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
DLDDD
2-3
Finished
HT1-1
Arsenal
Arsenal
WWDWW
📍 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Season statsPremier League
Bournemouth19matchesArsenal19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premier League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
41%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

77%
1657
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

2067
41%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

78%
41%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

75%
3.46
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.89

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
1.21
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.37
26%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

74%
42%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

16%
32%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

11%
26%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

47%
21%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

5%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
1.53
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.95
79%
Scored > 0.587%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

95%
74%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
63%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%
58%
Over 3.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

21%
63%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

47%
11%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

26%
21%
Scored Both Halves26%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

32%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
1.84
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.63
12.21
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.53
4.68
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.26
3.06
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.63
18/19
62%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

72%
26%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

47%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
1.72
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.31
1.73
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.91
-0.02
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.39
-0.29
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.19
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
13.84
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.37
5.16
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.11
8.84
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

11.79
64%
Box Shot %70%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

77%
37%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

59%
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
418.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

495.63
0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.16

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
32%6/19
Leading at HT42%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

53%10/19
37%7/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

26%5/19
32%6/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%4/19
68%13/19
HT/FT Same Outcome66%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%12/19
67%4/6
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%10/10
33%2/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered54%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

75%3/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
20%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
17%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

3%
13%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

24%
7%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

29%
17%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

9%
27%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
53%9/17
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%12/19
47%8/17
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

37%7/19
44%4/9
Win when Scoring First72%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%12/12
13%1/8
Win when Conceding First21%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%2/7
18'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

45'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
37%7/19
Scored after 75'37%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

37%7/19
37%7/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%5/19
67%4/6
Lead Saved after 75'79%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

92%11/12
33%2/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

8%1/12
11%2/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
90%27/30
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%31/34
7%2/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%3/34
3%1/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/34
9%3/34
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/15
0%0/34
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

20%3/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
5.74
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.79
4.53
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.95
56%
Corner Share61%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

66%
1.18
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.72
63%12/19
Match Corners > 8.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

42%8/19
53%10/19
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

37%7/19
47%9/19
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

37%7/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
2.37
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.37
5%1/19
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/19
12.53
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.05
76%13/17
Match Cards > 3.573%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%9/13
17/1913/19
53%9/17
Match Cards > 4.546%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

38%5/13
17/1913/19
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBournemouth at home · Arsenal on the road
99
1.78
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.89
44%4/9
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

56%5/9
11%1/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

22%2/9
1.22
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.22
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.78
44%4/9
Clean Sheet44%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%4/9
44%4/9
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%4/9
33%3/9
Over 2.533%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%3/9
1.23
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.02
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.81