Global Betting Intelligence
Cross-referencing our proprietary match analytics — form, H2H, key metrics, streaks, and tactical models — with 50+ external portals, live odds, team news, and top prediction engines to deliver a single-pane-of-glass briefing built for serious bettors.
Our Match Data
Multi-Model Analysis
50+ Data Sources
Hourly Updates
Global Betting Intelligence Report
Deep analysis scanning last-minute team news, stats, and market trends — the complete report so you can make the smartest decisions.
Deep Analysis
Market Picks
Value Angles
Insider Intel
This report is not included in the Free Trial. A paid Premium plan is required to unlock Match Intelligence.
Match Intelligence
Away Favored
Updated 3h ago
16+ Portals
50+ Data Sources
Udinese looks to arrest a damaging three-match losing streak against a Fiorentina side that is thriving on the road but faces extreme fatigue. The visitors secured a dominant 5-1 win in the last meeting, but 120 minutes of European action and heavy rotation could provide the hosts a lifeline.
Home Motivation
High
Currently 11th with 32 points, Udinese is desperate to snap a three-game losing streak and maintain their position in the top half of the table.
Away Motivation
High
Sitting 16th and just above the relegation battle, Fiorentina needs to translate their strong away xG into points to climb toward safety.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.00
xG created per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.68
Fiorentina generates significantly higher quality chances, though they are 33% below the league average of 2.53.
3.37
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
4.82
Fiorentina tests the keeper more frequently, while Udinese struggles with shot volume.
1.23
PPG (Season Venue)
Home/Away split
0.85
Despite recent form, Udinese is more reliable for points at home than Fiorentina is on the road this season.
60%
BTTS %
Last 10 matches
80%
Fiorentina's matches are highly prone to both teams scoring, 74% higher than the league baseline.
1.79
Yellow cards per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.34
Fiorentina plays a more aggressive style that frequently draws the referee's attention.
Form & Streaks
Udinese has lost 3 consecutive Serie A matches heading into this fixture.
Fiorentina has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Fiorentina has seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Tactical Overview
Udinese enters this fixture in a tailspin, having lost three straight Serie A matches including a 1-0 defeat to Bologna and a 2-1 loss at Lecce. Their attack is hindered by the absence of Keinan Davis, leaving Nicolò Zaniolo to shoulder the creative burden against a Fiorentina defense that has failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 straight away league games. Fiorentina has been much more effective away from home recently, picking up six points from their last three trips with wins at Como and Bologna. However, manager Paolo Vanoli is forced into significant rotations after a grueling 2-4 loss to Jagiellonia in midweek. The loss of Dodô to suspension and Robin Gosens to injury severely limits the visitors' width, which may force them into a more central, possession-heavy approach led by the in-form Moise Kean.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Nicolò Zaniolo is a significant attacking threat for Udinese, consistently contributing to goal-scoring opportunities. Keinan Davis, despite recently returning from injury, is crucial for his presence up front and can influence the game with his offensive play. In midfield, Jesper Karlström is important for his defensive work and ability to win fouls.
Absences
Oumar Solet
muscle injury
Alessandro Zanoli
cruciate ligament injury
Keinan Davis
muscle injury
Hassane Kamara
muscle injury
Home
Key Players
Nicolò Zaniolo is a significant attacking threat for Udinese, consistently contributing to goal-scoring opportunities. Keinan Davis, despite recently returning from injury, is crucial for his presence up front and can influence the game with his offensive play. In midfield, Jesper Karlström is important for his defensive work and ability to win fouls.
Absences
Oumar Solet
muscle injury
Alessandro Zanoli
cruciate ligament injury
Keinan Davis
muscle injury
Hassane Kamara
muscle injury
Away
Key Players
Moise Kean has been in excellent scoring form, finding the net in recent league appearances and proving a vital asset to Fiorentina's attack. Albert Gudmundsson is an influential player who has recently returned from injury and can provide crucial support in the offensive line. David de Gea is the team's experienced goalkeeper, whose presence and shot-stopping abilities are essential for stability at the back.
Absences
Luca Lezzerini
hamstring injury
Robin Gosens
broken jaw
Manor Solomon
thigh problems
Tariq Lamptey
cruciate ligament surgery
Dodô
yellow card suspension
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Referee Profile
L. Pairetto
8 matches officiated · 2025/26
Cards/G
6.1
▲
avg 4.0
Fouls/G
28.6
▲
avg 25.9
Pen Rate
0.62
Very HighL. Pairetto is one of the strictest officials in Serie A this season, averaging 6.13 cards per game across 8 matches. This is a massive 54.8% increase over the league average of 3.96, making the 'Over' on card markets highly attractive, especially with Fiorentina averaging 2.34 yellow cards themselves.
Weather & Pitch
Good Conditions
10C, light rain (0.6mm)
Temperature
9.9°C
Rain Chance
100%
Wind
5 km/h
Humidity
93%
The light rain shower (0.6mm/h) and 10C temperature will ensure a slick playing surface at the Friuli. With low wind speeds of 5.0 km/h, there is no significant impact on ball flight, but the wet pitch may slightly favor quick attacking transitions and increase the likelihood of sliding tackle fouls.
Insider Intel