Serie A·
Regular Season - 3·09/14/2025·09:00
Atalanta
Atalanta
DDLLW
4-1
Finished
HT1-0
Lecce
Lecce
LDWDW
📍 Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Last 10Serie A
Atalanta10matchesLecce10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
53%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1677
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1511
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
2.76
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.73

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.70
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
20%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
90%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
90%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
70%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%
40%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

10%
70%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
20%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.70
12.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.86
6/107/10
5.17
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.86
6/107/10
3.83
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.43
6/107/10
74%
Save %82%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

89%
6/107/10
20%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.73
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.88
1.16
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.21
0.57
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.33
0.02
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.15
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
14.50
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

8.57
6/107/10
4.67
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2.29
6/107/10
11.17
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

4.86
6/107/10
77%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

57%
6/107/10
32%
On-Target %29%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

27%
6/107/10
15%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%
6/107/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

41%
6/107/10
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

75%
6/107/10
454.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

314.29
6/107/10
0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.15

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
30%3/10
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
75%3/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered38%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/1010/101010
12%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
12%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

30%
12%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
18%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
6%
61-75'8%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
41%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

10%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/1010/101010
56%5/9
Scored First67%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

78%7/9
44%4/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

22%2/9
40%2/5
Win when Scoring First56%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
50%2/4
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

45'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/1010/101010
67%6/9
Scored after 75'43%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
33%3/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
50%1/2
Lead Saved after 75'65%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
50%1/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
11%1/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/1010/101010
94%16/17
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%9/10
0%0/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%1/10
6%1/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/10
7%1/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/7
0%0/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/7

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.33
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.57
6/107/10
4.67
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.86
6/107/10
53%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

44%
6/107/10
1.75
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.27
67%4/6
Match Corners > 8.569%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

71%5/7
6/107/10
67%4/6
Match Corners > 9.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

43%3/7
6/107/10
50%3/6
Match Corners > 10.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

29%2/7
6/107/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/1010/101010
1.33
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.43
6/107/10
0%0/6
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

29%2/7
6/107/10
11.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.43
6/107/10
20%1/5
Match Cards > 3.535%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

50%2/4
5/104/10
0%0/5
Match Cards > 4.525%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%2/4
5/104/10
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

52%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeAtalanta at home · Lecce on the road
45
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.80
25%1/4
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%2/5
50%2/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/5
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.20
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
0%0/4
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%2/5
100%4/4
BTTS80%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
75%3/4
Over 2.557%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
1.88
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.87
1.25
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.40